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Search Results for: Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

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NOTES ON THE CHINESE CRISIS

...  regarding China Is Now the Epicenter of Global Risk by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard.  Several TTPers suggested we publish it as a full article.  ...

HALF-FULL REPORT 04/03/15

...  cut off shipments of oil to Europe through the Suez canal. Ambrose Evans-Pritchard explains what that would mean for the world economy. A ...

CHINA CAN NO LONGER AFFORD WORLD DOMINATION

Routes of China’s Proposed New Silk Roads There’s just one flaw in Xi Jinping’s plans for global economic conquest. It’s that China has run out of money. The $8 trillion headline figure for the New Silk Road is romantic fiction. The Belt and Ro ...

TRUMP FORCES THE WORLD TO BLOCK OIL FROM IRAN

On Monday (4/22), the Trump Administration announced full sanctions on all countries importing Iranian oil would be in effect next week on May 2.  In announcing the decision, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said: "The goal remains simple: to deprive the  ...

CHINA IS NOT RECOVERING

Donald Trump says “trade wars are good and easy to win” if your foes depend on your market and you can break them under pressure. You see, he knows that China’s majestic and elegantly-stable GDP figures are best seen as an instrument of political c ...

THE EU’S COUP AGAINST DEMOCRACY IN ITALY

Italy’s pro-euro elites have overreached disastrously. President Sergio Mattarella has asserted the extraordinary precedent that no political movement or constellation of parties can ever take power if they challenge the orthodoxy of monetary union. He ...

IS GERMANY HEADED FOR RECESSION?

The economic outlook in Germany is deteriorating with alarming speed and any mistake by policy-makers could push the country into a full-blown slump, a leading economic institute has warned. “The danger of recession has increased markedly. It is a n ...

PUTIN’S FUTURELESS ECONOMY

Russia’s economy was smaller than that of Texas even before the latest and most lethal sanctions imposed by Washington. It has diminished further to Benelux proportions after the ruble’s 10% crash this week, the steepest fall since the late Nineties. ...

WILL ITALY KILL THE EURO, KILL ITSELF, OR BOTH?

Italy has progressed from pre-insurrectional anger to outright revolt. Insouciant markets are betting that this can somehow be contained. It smacks of delusion. Risk spreads on Italian 10-year bonds are exactly where they were a week ago before the "anti ...

THE DAVOS ELITE PREPARES TO BOW TO TRUMP

World Economic Forum, Davos, Switzerland.  Team Trump stormed the fortress of the global elites on their first day (1/24) in Davos, defiantly accusing foes of blinding the world with free trade humbug and abusing the international trade system.  Their b ...

CHINA FACES ITS MINSKY MOMENT

China’s central bank has warned in the clearest language to date that extreme credit creation and trouble in the shadow banking system could lead to a full-blown financial crisis. Zhou Xiaochuan, the governor of the People’s Bank (PBOC), spoke of “ ...

CATASTROPHE LOOMS FOR SPAIN

Catalans demand full independence from Spain Top global banks and bond funds are increasingly alarmed by the secessionist showdown in Spain, fearing that Catalan leaders will declare unilateral independence within days and set off a dangerous chain-react ...

IS A DOLLAR SURGE ON THE WAY?

The US Treasury and the Federal Reserve are both poised to start draining liquidity from the financial system, threatening a bout of dollar scarcity and a potential shake-up of currency markets over coming months. The twin-shift in policy is likely to ti ...

DO NOT BET AGAINST TRUMP OR THE DOLLAR

Donald Trump's appetite is whetted. He knows that American companies have stashed trillions of dollars overseas in what amounts to the greatest cash reserve in the world. Apple has $257bn parked abroad beyond the reach of the Internal Revenue Service. Al ...

TRUMP AND VENEZUELA

Venezuela’s oil industry is at risk of sudden collapse as funding dries up and the US tightens sanctions, threatening to shatter the beguiling calm in global crude markets. West Texas crude briefly spiked above $50 a barrel for the first time since lat ...

IS THE EU ON EUROPE’S SIDE OR RUSSIA’S?

Nordstream 1 in black, Nordstream 2 in red A raft of top European companies will be forced to pull out of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline project with Russia or face crippling sanctions under draconian legislation racing through the US Congress. Berlin an ...

CHINA IS RIDING A TIGER IT CANNOT GET OFF

China Rides a Tiger China’s authorities are increasingly worried by stress in the country’s financial system and the sudden slowdown in economic growth, fearing that it may now be too dangerous to press ahead with their draconian crack-down on shadow  ...

KING DOLLAR AND THE CHINESE DEATH SPIRAL

Lake Como, Italy.  The world's leading currency institute is bracing for a dramatic rise in the US dollar as the Federal Reserve rushes to tighten monetary policy, setting the stage for a protectionist showdown and a fresh debt crisis in emerging markets. ...

THE BOTTOM LINE QUESTION FOR THE YELLEN FED

Fed Chair Janet Yellen On three separate occasions since 2013, the US Federal Reserve sent shock waves through the global financial system when it tried to tighten monetary policy, and each time it was forced into partial retreat to halt the mayhem. Over ...

RUSSIA AND OPEC ARE PERMIANENTLY FRACKED

This is not a meeting – this is a wake The OPEC oil cartel – and Putin’s Russia – are waking up to an unpleasant surprise. Shale output from the Permian Basin in Texas is expanding faster than the world thought humanly possible. The scale threate ...

FRACKING OPEC

Saudi energy minister Khalid Al-Falih The short-lived recovery of world oil prices is already in danger as OPEC and Russia fail to deliver on agreed output cuts and America’s shale industry roars back to life. “All hell is going to break loose if the ...

MARINE LE PEN – THE FRENCH DONALD TRUMP

Marine Le Pen If Marine Le Pen wins France's presidential elections in May, all talk of punishing Britain for the outrage of Brexit will become irrelevant. French diplomacy will pirouette overnight under a National Front (FN) leader. The Élysée Palace  ...

THE GREAT HOLE OF CHINA

China’s central bank is running out of ways to stem capital flight and faces a near impossible task trying to manage the fall-out from extreme credit growth, two of Asia’s most influential banks have warned. “Defense of the currency by the People’ ...

TRUMP IS RIGHT: GERMANY WORSE THAN CHINA

Trump trade guru Peter Navarro As a matter of strict objective fact, Donald Trump’s trade guru Peter Navarro is correct. Germany is the planet’s ultimate currency manipulator, not China. The Euro – really a de facto Deutsche Mark – is indeed “g ...

DAVOS MAN IS SCARED AND WORRIED

The WEF annual meeting in Davos starts today (01/17-20) It was Harvard professor Samuel Huntington who first hurled the epithet “Davos Man” at the new elites, railing against “gold-collar workers” with no use for the nation state, and divorced fro ...

GERMANY’S HORROR-KURVE

Inflation rage is coming to the boil in Germany. Leaders of the country's prestigious institutes warn that the economy is hitting capacity constraints and risks spiraling into a destructive boom-bust cycle. In a series of interviews with yours truly they ...

TRUMP AND THE THUCYDIDES TRAP

Donald Trump's assault on trade is escalating. First the foes were China and Mexico. Now it is the world. The Trump transition team is now mooting an import tariff of 10% across the board, doubling down on earlier talk of a 5% duty. This is a sobering dem ...

THE NEXT CHINESE BOOM HAS COME AND GONE

As the Dow flirts with Trumpian heights of 20,000 on Wall Street, the Shanghai Composite in China has been drifting down for seven consecutive weeks. It is hard to construct a case that reconciles this split, given the tightly intertwined nature of the wo ...

IS CHINA POWERLESS AGAINST TRUMP?

On Fox News Sunday (12/11), with a single incendiary comment on Taiwanese independence, US president-elect Donald Trump has abrogated a central tenet of US foreign policy for the last 37 years and seems to have picked a deliberate fight with China. Mr. Tr ...

THE ITALIAN JOB

Matteo Renzi resigning on Monday 12/05 Italy's Matteo Renzi thought the "silent majority" would save him, if only he could chivvy enough of them to polls. The prime minister misjudged disastrously. The voters certainly turned out. They smashed through t ...

THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL EARTHQUAKE OF A TRUMP DOLLAR

The soaring US dollar is causing mounting strains for the global financial system and ultimately threatens to set off a full-blown banking crisis in emerging markets, the world’s top’s economic watchdog has warned. “We have all the symptoms of a dol ...

THE WORLD RUNS OUT OF DOLLARS

Surging rates on dollar Libor contracts are rapidly tightening conditions across large parts of the global economy, incubating stress in the credit markets and ultimately threatening overvalued bourses. Three-month Libor rates – the benchmark cost of sh ...

THE COMING CHINESE DEVALUATION DISASTER

China's property market went mad after the authorities poured fuel on the flames. Beijing is now slamming on the brakes. Capital outflows from China are accelerating. The hemorrhage has reached the fastest pace since the currency panic at the start of the ...

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