THE IRANIAN DEAL FANTASY
What sort of deal is being concocted between Obama and the Iranian regime? Pundits, experts, reporters, and pols are weighing in on epiphenomena ranging from the number of Iranian centrifuges that will be allowed to how quickly or slowly the remaining sanctions will be lifted.
Here in Washington the "inside story" that has been circulating for more than a week is: the deal is all done and it will be announced before the 24th, the nominal deadline for the negotiations on a "permanent" agreement.
I've been here since 1977, approaching forty years, and "inside stories" have been wrong...almost always. Say 80-90 percent of the time. That's because the "information" is circulated to advance or sabotage policies or individuals, not to inform. So I don't pay much attention to such stories.
Especially when it comes to Iran, there's always a considerable amount that we don't know and aren't going to know, so it's best to be tentative.
But we do know some things, and there is an historical record that is pretty consistent, so let's go with that stuff.