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THE DOOM OF CHINA’S DEMOGRAPHIC DESTINY

China’s Communist Party has scrapped its hated one-child policy (see Note below) in a bid to shore up political support, but the move comes far too late to avert a collapse of the workforce and a demographic crisis by the late 2020s.

All couples will be allowed to have a second child under new rules agreed at the party’s closely-watched 5th Plenum in Beijing. The ban on larger families in cities will remain despite pleas from Chinese academics for total freedom.

The policy shift will make no difference to the workforce for almost 20 years and by then China will already be in the full grip of a demographic crunch.

“They have merely moved to a two-child policy. The family planning authorities are still there, and there is still an apparatus of state power intruding into people’s intimate lives,” says Jonathan Fenby, a China veteran at Trusted Sources.

China may already have left it too late to ditch the one-child policy. Critics say the damage has been evident for years, leaving aside the traumatic suffering of poor women seized by police after tip-offs and forced into late-term abortions, the indignity of “menstrual monitors” and the status of “illegal” children denied ration coupons and schooling.

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THAT SCIENCE NEEDS GOVERNMENT SUPPORT IS A MYTH

Innovation is a mysteriously difficult thing to dictate. Technology seems to change by a sort of inexorable, evolutionary progress, which we probably cannot stop—or speed up much either. And it’s not much the product of science.

Most technological breakthroughs come from technologists tinkering, not from researchers chasing hypotheses. Heretical as it may sound, “basic science” isn’t nearly as productive of new inventions as we tend to think.

The linear dogma so prevalent in the world of science and politics—that science drives innovation, which drives commerce—is mostly wrong. It misunderstands where innovation comes from. Indeed, it generally gets it backward.

 For more than a half century, it has been an article of faith that science would not get funded if government did not do it, and economic growth would not happen if science did not get funded by the taxpayer. This is a myth. In fact, there is still no empirical demonstration of the need for public funding of research and that the historical record suggests the opposite.

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A HAPPY LIFE IS NOT PERFECT HAPPINESS

There is a great misunderstanding about what it means to live a happy life, and it can be summed up in the popular symbol of the smiley face.

Now, I like to smile. I love feeling that kind of glowing, delighted state of emotional bliss. It’s wonderful to be full of joy and love and laughter. But feeling those things doesn’t in and of itself make for a happy life; and just because we don’t happen to feel them in the moment doesn’t mean we are unhappy.

In fact, if simply feeling those emotions all the time was what constituted happiness, and if Aristotle was correct in saying that, "Happiness is the meaning and the purpose of life, the whole aim and end of human existence," then it would be a simple matter to find the right combination of drugs that would perpetually bathe our neurons with joyful chemicals, and we could all be perpetually happy and fulfill the aim and end of our existence.

But this smiley face view of happiness is a mistake.

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NO ORDINARY WEAKLING

Recently published in the Register-Guard newspaper in Eugene, Oregon. Mr. Kash lives in nearby Springfield.

O-Weakling

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HALF-FULL REPORT 10/30/15

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Cruz’s detonation of the ludicrously biased 3 main CNBC moderators was the most enjoyable highlight of the debate Wednesday night (10/28). And it will serve a most useful purpose – tearing people’s attention away from the Kim Kardashian of presidential candidates and towards those who actually have something to say.

It may take a while for this to sink in. The Drudge Poll yesterday (10/29) said Trump was the clear winner with 48%, with Cruz at 25% and Rubio under 13%. Let’s be just as clear: anyone who thought Trump won is retarded. Read the debate transcript and see for yourself.

It’s likely then that before long we’ll be left with the Final Four: Cruz, Carson, Rubio, and Fiorina. You may be surprised by Fiorina, but she had a great debate – if you rate substance over style and personality games. Here’s examples…

Let’s get this over with fast. What words can adequately express the disgust we all feel at Paul Ryan’s pathological sellout regarding Boehner’s sellout regarding this insane funding of Zero’s deficit spending for the next two years? And the McConnell Senate then passed it in the dead of night. Obama Hails Passage of Two-Year Budget Deal is the headline that sums up the total moral corruption of the Republicans in Congress.

There’s lots more – and we end with an awesome video. Have your headphones on max.

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THE ISLAMIST FOX IN EUROPE’S HENHOUSE

DemorSultanThis is the question The Economist asked over two years ago in its cover story on June 8, 2013. It’s become clear since that Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s intention is to be another Ottoman Sultan. Turkey’s elections this Sunday, Nov. 1st, may see if his goal is realized.

 

That goal extends far beyond the borders of Turkey. This map is a frightening display of it:

BlackMap102915This map – published in the London Daily Mail yesterday (10/28) – shows the origins and extent of the Moslem invasion of Europe this year – 680,000 so far with tens of thousands more on the way. It’s easy to see the conduit of the hordes from Afghanistan, Iraq and Syria is Turkey.

This is no accident, Comrades. Erdogan (air-doh-wan) wants to achieve the great goal the Ottoman Sultans never could – the Islamization of Europe.

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SOMETHING DEEPLY DISTURBING IS HAPPENING IN AMERICA

[Director Comey made these remarks at the University of Chicago on October 23]

Part of being clear-eyed about reality requires all of us to stare—and stare hard—at what is happening in this country this year. And to ask ourselves what’s going on.

Because something deeply disturbing is happening all across America. Something has changed in 2015. Far more people are being killed in America’s cities this year than in many years. Let’s be clear: far more people of color are being killed in America’s cities this year.

And it’s not the cops doing the killing.

What could be driving an increase in murder in some cities across all regions of the country, all at the same time? What explains this map and this calendar? Why is it happening in all of different places, all over and all of a sudden?

Nobody says it on the record, nobody says it in public, but police and elected officials are quietly saying it to themselves. And they’re saying it to me, and I’m going to say it to you. And it is the one explanation that does explain the calendar and the map and that makes the most sense to me.

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AN INTERVIEW WITH TED CRUZ ON AMERICAN FOREIGN POLICY

US Senator Ted Cruz, the conservative Republican firebrand from Texas, is running for president. Up until a few weeks ago, his candidacy was met with indifference as the media and political operatives all dismissed its viability. But that is beginning to change.

The voices arguing that Cruz, the favorite of Tea Party fiscal conservatives and Evangelical Christians may have what it takes to win the Republican nomination have multiplied.

Since arriving in Washington four years ago, Cruz has arguably been Israel’s most avid defender in the Senate. Last summer Cruz led the national opposition to US President Barack Obama’s nuclear deal with Iran, and continues to lead it today.

I interviewed Cruz by telephone from the campaign trail earlier this week about his views on the purpose of American foreign policy, US-Israel relations, the Iran nuclear deal and the Palestinian conflict with Israel.  The transcript of our conversation follows.

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DO NOT BET THE FARM ON PUTIN IN SYRIA

Who’s winning the Middle East war?  It’s never an easy question to answer, even for the most skilled and informed analysts.  Things rarely, very rarely, go the way we expect.  Hence “the fog of war.” 

The most famous case of a military commander who got it right is Napoleon at Austerlitz, when he seems to have told his men precisely how the battle would go, hour by hour and move by move.  It so impressed Hegel that he proclaimed the French general a “world-historical figure.”

Waterloo didn’t follow that template, thereby making my point.  It behooves us to maintain a healthy skepticism about likely outcomes. 

If you had to bet, you’d probably wager that Putin and Khamenei are solid favorites in Syria. Yet shoring up Assad, which is the Iranian-Russian mission, is no easy task.  Russian and Iranian casualties are mounting and in some key areas they are in retreat from “rebels.”  Consider this current battlefield report:

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THE LIFE-SAVING BENEFITS OF MORE CO2

France’s leading television weather forecaster, Philippe Verdier, was taken off air last week (10/19) for writing that there are “positive consequences” of climate change.

His book published earlier this month, Climat Investigation (currently available only in French) denounced “the planetary scandal of global warming — a war-machine designed to keep us afraid. At its heart, it’s a science manipulated and politicized, of conflict of interest, of corruption… a self-serving engine, a new religion, the framework of a new faith.”

Last week also saw the publication of a comprehensive, thoroughly peer-reviewed report on “Carbon Dioxide — the Good News” for the Global Warming Policy Foundation by the independent American scientist Indur Goklany, to which Freeman Dyson wrote the foreword.

Goklany points out that whereas the benefits of carbon dioxide are huge and here now, the harms are still speculative and almost all in the distant future.

This is the summary from Goklany's report, followed by even more evidence for the life-saving benefits of increasing, not reducing CO2 in our planet’s air.

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SAVING PUERTO RICO SHOULD NOT BE DIFFICULT

Ultimately, if you continue to spend more than you take in -- whether you are an individual, business or government -- there will be a day of reckoning. Puerto Rico is likely to reach that day by December 1st.

Back in June, the governor of Puerto Rico, Alejandro Garcia Padilla, announced that the government debt of $73 billion had grown so large that it was no longer "repayable." At that time, many of us who have had experience with countries in fiscal crisis made recommendations (see my America's Greece) to avoid what is now almost certain to happen.

As is its pattern, the Obama administration waited until the last minute -- this past week -- to unveil its "solution," dubbed "Super Chapter 9." Chapter 9 is a provision in the U.S. bankruptcy code that allows local governments in U.S. states, but not the states themselves (including Puerto Rico), to declare bankruptcy.

Typically, this “solution” will make the problem worse rather than solving it.  The causes of Puerto Rico’s problems are clear – and so are the remedies.  Here they are.

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HALF-FULL REPORT 10/23/15

We have to begin with a HFR Cold Open. Here’s the SNL Cold Open last Saturday (10/17) with Seinfeld co-creator Larry David’s impossibly funny bang-on impersonation of Bernie Sanders, Kate McKinnon as a psycho Hillary, Alec Baldwin as Jim Webb, and Jon Rudnitsky as an effeminate Anderson Cooper:

DemPresDebate2015Only a masochist would put themselves through 11 hours of lying by the PIAPS to the Benghazi Committee yesterday. The most despicable moment was when she actually claimed that murdered Ambassador Chris Stevens was joking when he requested more security in Benghazi. The truly depressing problem about Hillary, however, is not Hillary. Here’s the real problem…

There’s lots more, including the dumbest Pub Gov in America, a Zero appointee as Hero of the Week, and the Question of the Week: What are your plans for this coming New Years Eve?

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THE MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE IN THE WORLD TODAY

Yesterday – October 21, 2015 – was “Back to the Future Day,” with an uncountable number of news stories comparing the 1989 movie’s predictions for that day to the reality now. BTTF II was the sequel to the original 1985 sci-fi classic, wherein teenager Marty McFly (Michael J. Fox) is sent back in time to 1955.

Odds are good you’ve seen them both. So let’s do a thought experiment. Suppose you could hop in to Doc Brown’s DeLorean today and go back to 1955 – to a high school like Hill Valley High in the film and talk to the kids. Suppose you somehow convince them you’re really from 2015.

The first thing they’d be startled to learn is the nostalgia 2015 America has for 1950s America as the modern Golden Age. They’d be overjoyed to know America won the Cold War with the Soviet Union ceasing to exist – although stunned by the president who won it.

Then it would get grim. They’d probably cope with a black US president – but not with a president who hated his own country and whose every policy was purposefully designed to destroy America’s economy, security, and standing in the world.

And when you described America’s cultural degradation – the black race riots and rampant racial hatred for whites, the tsunami of vulgarity washing over every form of entertainment, the Supreme Court forcing every state to recognize the legality of homosexuals “marrying” each other – there’s no doubt what their reaction would be.

They would throw up. They would get physically sick to their stomach and barf. They’d say, “That’s 60 years from now. I hope I die before then.” “That means the children I have will create this world – and that means I should never have children.”

At this point, suppose you say, “Wait a moment, I’ll be right back,” hop in your DeLorean and transport yourself to the America of 2020.

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MEMO TO GOP: CURB IMMIGRATION OR QUIT

America is about to break every known immigration record. And yet you are unlikely to hear a word about it.

The Census Bureau projects that the foreign-born share of the U.S. population will soon eclipse the highest levels ever documented, and will continue surging to new record highs each year to come.

Yet activists and politicians who support unprecedented levels of immigration are never asked to explain how they believe such a policy will affect social stability, community cohesion or political assimilation.

They can simply cry out, “We must pass immigration reform!” without ever explaining what they believe “immigration reform” means.

Immigration reform should mean improvements to immigration policy to benefit Americans. But in Washington, immigration reform has devolved into a euphemism for legislation that opens America’s borders, floods her labor markets and gives corporations the legal right to import new foreign workers to replace their existing employees at lower pay.

After nearly half a century of massive immigration it is time to turn our attention to our own residents. We need an immigration policy that shows compassion for Americans.

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