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TRUMP NEEDS TO KNOW THAT THE KEY TO ECONOMICS IS NOT ECONOMICS

HenryFordYesterday (9/07) in Philadelphia, The Donald gave a rousing speech on building up our military.  Heavens knows we need that after 8 years of Zero trying to ruin it. But certainly what’s not needed is just more stuff. 

Take the trillion-dollar F-35 boondoggle, for example, “the greatest white elephant in US military history.”  The good old F-16 eats its lunch.  The new innovative technology like General Atomics’ railgun leaves most big-ticket extravaganzas like aircraft carriers and manned bombers in the dust.  Manned bombers?  How 20th Century can you get?

The military’s resistance to obsoleting innovation is but one example of legions shot through our entire economy.  People are afraid of the new.  People are afraid of their jobs ending up making buggy whips.  People want to stifle competition, demanding a “divine right to stagnation.”  People are envious, they want to “eat the rich.”

Trump can talk all he wants about how to make America “great” again, how he wants to create jobs, how he wants better trade deals, how he wants to bring manufacturing back to the US from overseas.  Fine, go for it.  Almost anything he does will be better – as in gargantually better – than Hacking Hillary who will do her best to make it worse (except for her cronies).

I believe that Trump’s heart is in the right place, while Hillary’s is in a deep dark hideous hole.  Nonetheless, there’s something he needs to understand about economics – namely, that the key to it, the key to whether a society prospers or pauperizes, has nothing to do with economics.

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THE ALMIGHTY DOLLAR

AlmightyDollarThe US dollar is tightening its grip on the global financial system at the expense of the euro, entrenching American hegemony and rendering the US Federal Reserve more powerful than at any time in history.

Newly-released data from the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) show that the dollar’s share of the $5.1 trillion in foreign exchange trades each day has continued rising to 87.6% of all transactions.

It is the latest evidence confirming the extraordinary resilience of the dollar-based international order, confounding expectations of US financial decline a decade ago.

Roughly 60% of the global economy is either in the dollar zone or closely tied to it through currency pegs or ‘dirty floats’, and the level of debt issued in dollars outside US jurisdiction has soared to $9 trillion.

This has profound implications for monetary policy. The Fed has become the world’s central bank whether it likes it or not, setting borrowing costs for much of the global system.

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THE SYRIAN TEN THOUSAND – OBAMA’S CRIME AGAINST AMERICA

OsCrimetoAmericaAmerica's terrorist shortage may be reaching an end. If Orlando didn't satisfy you and San Bernardino left you wanting more; if you thought, why can't we have more Boston Marathon bombings, Obama has your back.  And your front and any other directions that a pressure cooker full of nails can hit you from.

The land of Washington, Jefferson, and Mohammed Atta has reached a new milestone by taking in Syrian refugee number 10,000. It’s unknown if the TSA will shower him with balloons and confetti once he passes the gate while clutching a Koran and a copy of the Caliphate Cookbook.

Either way we hit the big explosive ten thousand. And the clock is ticking.

Media outlets are puffing out sympathetic portrayals of the oppressed Syrians moving into some neighborhood near you, and far from the bosses behind the major media outlets. All these folks fleeing the violence of their own religion want is a safe place to live. And safe inevitably means non-Islamic.

There’s an obvious lesson here that neither they nor our expertly chattering classes seem able to grasp.

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HALF-FULL REPORT 09/02/16

Pantelleria
Pantelleria, Strait of Sicily, Italian Mediterranean.  Welcome to Europe’s hidden ultimate hideaway for the rich and famous.  No matter who you are, nobody cares. It’s totally laid back. No big fancy resorts, no tourists, no paparazzi, no autograph hounds, you’re left alone in peace, solitude, and private luxury. 

There’s just one little problem, right on the horizon you see in the distance.  It provides a useful perspective on the main story of the week in America – Trump vs. Clinton on illegal immigration.

This has been a news week of mind-numbing global intensity.  There are events you should know about in 15 countries on five continents.  Let’s see how many I can get to – starting obviously with Mexico.

The most surprised guy on the planet late last week was Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto.  He issued a pro forma invitation to both Trump and Hillary for a meeting/discussion as a diplomatic nicety.  He got the reply he expected from her office, thanking him, will do our best to rearrange the busy schedule, our people will be in touch with your people, blah blah.

He fell out of his chair with Trump’s reply:  Muchas gracias, I’m on my way, I’ll see you tomorrow!  You can imagine the freakout in the presidential chambers:  “QUE???  Hay-soos Crees-toh!!!”  And however you say WTF!! in Mexican.

It was the very last thing he expected.  But when the shock subsided, here’s what Nieto told his aides: 

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HILLARY IS GOING TO LOSE

What does she stand for?  What are the genuine accomplishments in her life?  What new innovative ideas does she have to change the current direction of the country that two-thirds of voters think is wrong?

Then there are questions of ethics and morality.  Ereyesterday (8/28), Roger Simon laid out the stakes:

“The truth about the Clinton Foundation is already clear:  a medium to leverage Hillary Clinton's position as Secretary of State for personal enrichment and global control by the Clintons and their allies.  To my knowledge, nothing like this has ever been done in the history of the United States government.

 

This means quite simply, that the United States of America has abandoned the rule of law. The election of Hillary Clinton—our own Evita—will make the situation yet more grave. Consider something so basic as how you raise your children in a country where the president is most probably an indictable criminal and most certainly a serial liar of almost inexhaustible proportions. What does this say about our basic morality and how does that affect all aspects of our culture?”

It’s been a long hot political summer, with the Lying Swine Media in a 24/7 feeding frenzy to demonize Trump and coronate Hillary as having already won before the campaign really begins.  As always, summer froth abates over Labor Day weekend, with campaigns beginning in earnest the day after – one week from today, Tuesday September 6th.

So with the LSM predicting the race for the White House is over before it begins, I figure I might as well join in.  My prediction is:  Hillary is going to lose.  She is going to lose, as Dick Cheney would say, “big time.” 

Of course I’m going to caveat that big time – I’ve been wrong too many times before not to do that.  But let’s set the caveats aside for now.  Let’s first count the abundance of ways she’s going down for the electoral count.

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HIMALAYA HELICOPTER EXPEDITION

MtEverest“Scoundrel’s View” of Mount Everest – Tibet North Face on left, Nepal Southwest Face on right

Can you imagine what it is like to actually be at Mount Everest?  Or any other Himalayan giant – like Kanchenjunga, Annapurna, or Dhaulagiri – the greatest mountains on earth?  To be in the presence of any one of them is a life-memorable experience.

To reach any one, you must trek for many days, over extremely rough mountainous terrain at very high altitude.  You must be in exceptional physical condition to do so.

Which is why almost no one, even the most ambitious trekker, has ever been to all of them.  Last May, I created an alternative:  to the base camps of all eight 8,000 meter peaks in the Himalayas by helicopter, piloted by the most experienced mountain rescue pilots in the world.

Here’s our high altitude AS350 B3 coming in to land at the Khumbu Ice Fall on Mount Everest at 17,500 ft.

Chopper on SnowWhat we did in May was so astoundingly spectacular I can’t resist doing it again this November.  Would you like to come with me?

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THE MEDIA EATS ITS OWN FOR HILLARY

MediaBiasWhere does media bias come from?  Anyone who really wanted to know had that question answered when much of the media took a break from attacking Trump to attack the Associated Press.

What does the AP have in common with Trump? Both were hurting Hillary Clinton’s chances to score payoffs from dictators, arms dealers and tycoons with terrorist ties for the next four to eight years.

The Associated Press got in trouble with the rest of the media for digging up dirt on the Clinton Foundation. Instead of just repeating the usual Clinton denials, it actually ran the numbers and noted that more than half the “ordinary folks” who got meetings with her had donated to her Foundation.

Instead of reporting on the AP story, the media went to war on its own. It wasn’t just the usual suspects like Vox and Slate who have a reputation for attacking any actual reporters who stray off the reservation and actually do their jobs. This time all the big boys were on the job.

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SO WHAT IF THE ARCTIC OCEAN MELTS?

The sea ice in the Arctic Ocean is approaching its annual nadir. By early September each year about two thirds of the ice cap has melted, then the sea begins to freeze again.

An adult male polar bear on sea ice in the Arctic Ocean north of Svalbard, near 81-degrees North.This year looks unlikely to set a record for melting, with more than four million square kilometers of ice remaining, less than the average in the 1980s and 1990s, but more than in the record low years of 2007 and 2012. (The amount of sea ice around Antarctica has been increasing in recent years, contrary to predictions.)

Meanwhile, the habit of some scientists of predicting when the ice will disappear completely keeps getting them into trouble.  But would it matter if it did all melt one year? Here’s the point everybody seems to be missing: the Arctic Ocean’s ice has indeed disappeared during summer in the past, routinely.

And when it did, during a period known as the “Early Holocene Insolation Maximum” (EHIM), it was the best thing that ever happened to humanity.  Here’s why.

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HALF-FULL REPORT 08/26/16

Good grief.  What a disastrous, horrible, no-good lousy week this has been… for The PIAPS.

I’m sure you need cheering up after this depressing news, and if listening to a masterful British orator won’t do it, nothing will:

Nigel Farage, however, was the least of Shrillary’s worries this week.  On Wednesday (8/24), the New York Post’s cover story was A Nation for Sale under Hillary Clinton.  But this isn’t a Post scoop – this is an exposé of the Clinton Foundation’s naked criminality by the media’s gold-standard flagship, the Associated Press itself.   Every newspaper in the country uses an AP newsfeed.  As such, it cannot be ignored by the Libtard Media and it is utterly devastating.

Trump was fully justified to declare that, “It is now clear that the Clinton Foundation is the most corrupt enterprise in political history.”

Jack Kelly had a marvelous column this week on Journalists as Presstitutes.  They are intentionally biased for the left, willful propagandists and shills for the Democrats.

There is another way they presstitute themselves that you should know about, for it will give you a deep insight into how journalism really works.  We use a current story about Turkey in the New York Times as a prime example.

How’s this for a headline in this morning’s (8/26) London Daily Express: Favorite to be Next Dutch Prime Minister Vows to Ban the Koran and Close All Mosques.  Yep, that’s Geert Wilders.  He and his Dutch Freedom Party lead every poll there is by double digits, and the election is soon.

We have the HFR’s favorite judge, favorite Olympian, and Hero of the Week.  Here we go. 

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WHERE THE SOVIET UNION STILL EXISTS

LeninLives
Tiraspol, Transnistria.  Lenin lives.  At least he still does here in the strangest country in Europe, as it insists on pretending it is a part of the Soviet Union.

We are in a landlocked and isolated sliver of Moldova that wanted no part of the breakup of the USSR in the wake of Berlin Wall falling in November 1989. 

Transnistria
This is where the Soviet Union still exists – and where the people consider themselves Soviet citizens. They idolize Putin – and thus idolize Trump for being Putin’s friend.

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AMERICA NEEDS A FOREIGN POLICY AS SERIOUS AS IRAN’S

IranMissileLet’s state it clearly:  Washington’s policy regarding state sponsors of terrorism is schizophrenic. As a result, our government is failing in its duty to protect Americans from terrorism.

It is not as if we need evidence of what nations are sponsoring terror attacks against us. Whether the attacks of 9-11, the Khobar Towers bombing, and the attacks on our embassies in Kenya and Tanzania, Iran was the prime culprit, in addition to the thousands of American soldiers maimed and killed by IED’s strewn all over Iraq and Afghanistan by Iranian agents.

If the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA, Obama’s Iran nuclear deal)) was truly able to prevent Iran from building nuclear weapons, looking the other way while Iran builds ballistic missiles and supports terrorism might be considered unpalatable, but nonetheless necessary if that were the only choices before us.

But the JCPOA only delays Iran from reaching its goal of becoming a nuclear-armed state sponsor of terrorism—which all evidence suggests is happening rapidly. The effect on Middle East security is already devastating.

By our inaction, we are helping Iran create a Shia crescent from Iran to Iraq to Syria to Lebanon and to the Mediterranean Sea, an arc dominated by Iran and its terror proxies that jeopardizes the entire Middle East and especially the US allied oil producing states.

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CHINA’S DEAD MONEY TRAP

Xiaochuan
Zhou Xiaochuan, governor of the People's Bank of China

China is at mounting risk of a Japanese-style "liquidity trap" as monetary policy loses traction and the economy approaches credit exhaustion, forcing a shift towards Keynesian fiscal stimulus.

Officials at the Chinese People’s Bank (PBOC) have begun to call for a fundamental change in strategy, warning that interest rate cuts have become an increasingly blunt tool. They cannot easily stop companies hoarding cash or halt the slide in private investment.

Sheng Songcheng, the PBOC’s head of analysis, set off a storm last month by warning that the economy had “started to show some signs of being caught in a liquidity trap.”

Caixin magazine said last week (8/16) Chinese companies are hoarding record sums of “dead money” rather than spending it. The growth rate of private investment has dropped to 2.1% over the last seven months, the lowest since global financial crisis. 

The International Monetary Fund warned in June that China’s corporate debt has reached 145% of GDP. “Vulnerabilities are still rising on a dangerous trajectory. They must be addressed immediately,” it said.  China’s entire financial system is clearly out of kilter.

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22 RULES FOR A GOOD OLD AGE

These are rules to live a full and savored old age.  The last is the most important.  But you won’t fully appreciate it until you’ve read all the others first.

  1. It's time to use the money you saved up.  Use it and enjoy it.  Don't just keep it for those who may have no notion of the sacrifices you made to get it.  Remember there is nothing more dangerous than a son or daughter-in-law with big ideas for your hard earned capital.  Enjoy the present moment. The sand in the clock may run out at any moment.

  2. Stop worrying about the financial situation of your children and grandchildren. You've taken care of them for many years, and you've taught them what you could.  You gave them an education, food, shelter and support.  The responsibility is theirs to earn their way.

  3. Keep a healthy life with moderate exercise (like walking every day), eat well and get your sleep.  It's easy to become sick, and it gets harder to remain healthy.  Keep in touch with your doctor, get tested even when you're feeling well.   Stay informed.

  4. Always buy the best, most beautiful items for your significant other.  The key goal is to enjoy your money with your partner.  One day one of you will miss the other, and the money will not provide any comfort then.  Enjoy it together.

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