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HALF-FULL REPORT 11/13/09


Roatan, Honduras.  It's far easier to get from the US to here than from Tikal, Guatemala.  It took me an entire day.  You can fly from Houston (Continental) or Atlanta (Delta) nonstop in less than three hours.

Roatan is the largest of the Bay Islands off the Honduran Caribbean coast, 37 miles long and five miles at its widest, home to 30,000, some 3,000 of whom are expats from the US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and Europe.

Increasing numbers of Americans are figuring out that this is the tropical paradise they've been looking for as a safety escape while Hurricane Obama passes by.  I'll have lots more to say about it in my report on Honduras next week.

***
I just learned from TTPer Paul Rosenberg, developer of Cryptohippie, that I am a character in a libertarian video game called 2011: Obama's Coup Fails.  It posits that after the Dems suffer devastating losses in the 2010 elections, Zero suspends Congress and rules by executive decree.  An armed rebellion breaks out.

The player (you) joins the leaders of the rebellion, known as The Founders, in combat against the crumbling Marxist forces of Obama's loyalist Black Tigers, the Islamic fundamentalist Nation of Malsi, and The Cong - a group of de-elected Democrats.

Evidently, I am one of The Founders.  In the Breaking News section of the game, a news bulletin entitled "Hillary Clinton Finally Captured," dated March 15, 2011, begins:

"Upon receiving an anonymous tip, the forces of Jack Wheeler, Ollie North, and the CIA were able to track down and capture former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton."

I don't know the game designers, and just found out about this from Paul.  But it's cool, don't you think?

That's the fun news.  Now for the ominous news.

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THE DOOM OF STAGFLATION


When will the next round of inflation hit, and how can we protect ourselves?

Many economists and commentators, including yours truly, have warned about the potential of a new round of high inflation due to the great expansion of government spending. But does an increase in government spending necessarily translate into higher inflation?

The answer is "no," but it most often does, and this is why.  It's also why we are headed for the doom of Jimmy Carter's stagflation -- high unemployment and economic stagnation combined with high inflation -- on steroids.

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PROPOSED DIVORCE AND SEPARATION AGREEMENT


Dear American Liberals, Leftists, Social Progressives, Socialists, Marxists, and Obama Supporters, et al:

As a law student, I have drawn up a divorce & separation agreement on behalf of my fellow Conservative Americans and you.

We have stuck together since the late 1950's, but the whole of this latest election process has made me realize that I want a divorce.  I know, we tolerated each other for many years for the sake of future generations, but, sadly, this relationship has run its course. 

Our two ideological sides of America cannot, and will not ever agree on what is right, so let's just end it on friendly terms.  We can smile, chalk it up to irreconcilable differences, and go our own way.

Here is a model separation agreement:

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ENDING INFLATION IN THREE WORDS


There is no more horrific tax than inflation.  It can wipe out a lifetime of savings with ease.  It's also the easiest way for politicians to escape fiscal jams of their creation.

Medicare, for example, goes cash-negative within 24 months from now.  Its cost to taxpayers will mount almost exponentially in the years to come.  There are only three ways to deal with the cost:  raise taxes monumentally, cut benefits drastically, or inflate the value of the dollar to cover the ballooning cost.

Which one do you think Congress will choose?

There is a three-word solution to this, and TTP's favorite Paulista, economics professor John Nehring, had better be prepared or else his head will explode with excitement.

The three words are: 

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WILL THE WIN ENDURE?

Or will Barack Obama and the Democratic party abandon Iraq prematurely, as the Democrats did South Vietnam?

Our soldiers, sailors, airmen and Marines have done their job.  But Iraq needs energetic American diplomatic and political engagement to finish the job.

Iraqis have begged us to help them.  They've pleaded with this administration to stay in the ring and referee their pols.  But President Obama has disengaged.

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HALF-FULL REPORT 11/06/09


Ringling Brothers, Barnum & Bailey never put on a circus better than the one being played for your entertainment right now, today (11/06), on Capitol Hill.  Pelosi Galore is in a state of screaming rage and panicked desperation, making every bribe and threat she can to get the votes for PelosiCare to pass tomorrow, Saturday.

She knows that if Members can go home for the weekend and get a load of their constituents' volcanic anger before the vote, her bill is toast.  So hundreds of Members are having the Congressional Travel Office hold two flight reservations for them, one for this evening, another for tomorrow night.  They are waiting for Steny Hoyer (Pelosi's Segundo) to complete his count. 

Then, if he announces late this afternoon there will be a vote tomorrow, it means he thinks he has enough.  If he announces a postponement, it means he doesn't.

As Jack Kelly says, bullying from a position of weakness isn't very smart.  Trying to threaten people into committing suicide may work for Moslem crazies, but rarely for politicians, even Democrats.  It is going to be so much fun watching this slow-motion train wreck.

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IF BERNIE MADOFF IS IN JAIL, WHY ISNT THE IRS AND CONGRESS?


Do you know who is perpetuating the biggest tax scam ever and who the victims are?

It is an organization that claims to be a "service" to the people but whose actual behavior can be summed up in its unwritten motto, "Might means right." As tax day approaches, millions of Americans are finding they are victims of this scam. It is called the capital gains tax, and it is run by the Internal Revenue "Service."

Capital gains come from sales of stocks and bonds, businesses, real estate, art objects and anything else of value. The IRS capital-gains tax scam consists of two parts. First, it does not just tax real gains, but also imaginary gains resulting solely from government-caused inflation.

The U.S. Constitution - i.e., the 16th Amendment - only gives Congress the power to "lay and collect taxes on incomes." Many legal scholars think taxing the portion of a capital gain caused by inflation is unconstitutional because it is not income.

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THE OLYMPICS OF FACE


As we enjoy watching the debacle of the Chicom Torch Relay disastrously unfold from London to Paris to San Francisco to points beyond, let's step back to the bigger picture of what these Olympics are all about.

They are not about sport and Olympic Ideals, that's for sure.  The competing athletes from scores of countries all over the world are only props.  These Beijing Games are about one thing only.  They are about face - Chinese face.

The concept of face - as in "losing face" or "saving face" - plays a critical role in Chinese culture and the way most Chinese deal with reality - a way that is fundamentally opposed to that of Americans.

If your "face" is the primary concern of your life, controlling your conduct and morality, then you believe that reality is what other people say it is, not what it is in fact.  The morality of face is the morality of pretend. 

For any country to host an Olympic Games, it's a matter of national pride.  But for China, that's all that it is.  The purpose of the Beijing Games is China's "coming-out party," during which the world accepts Chicom China as a morally legitimate nation, and publicly pretends it is not a dictatorship.  For the Chicoms, this pretense is the Games' only purpose.

Which means, if the party is spoiled, it will be a catastrophic loss of face for the Chicoms, and the Han Chinese they rule.  What will be the consequences of this?

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PAKISTAN IS UNDERWATER


Thirty-five million Americans as homeless refugees: That would be a disaster proportionate to the horrific -- and worsening -- situation in Pakistan.

This time, that forlorn country isn't threatened by Islamist terror, but by Mother Nature. Two weeks of flooding, with more rain on the way, have made refugees of 20 million Pakistanis.

Try to grasp that number. Twenty million people, overwhelmingly poor, have lost their homes, their slight "wealth" and their livelihoods. Thousands have died.

International aid groups estimate that 3.5 million children are at mortal risk from diseases -- cholera, typhoid, dysentery and common diarrhea -- spread by polluted water and poor sanitation.
 
The deluge has inundated about 100,000 square miles -- leaving thousands of hamlets, villages and towns underwater or swept away entirely. This makes Hurricane Katrina look like a thunderstorm.

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HALF-FULL REPORT 10/30/09


Have you heard the latest joke in Stockholm?  The Swedes love to poke fun at Norwegians whom they consider their Scandinavian country bumpkin cousins (like Canadians tell "Newfie" jokes about folks from Newfoundland).

The Swedish Nobel Committee awards all the real prizes, while the one in Norway gets to award the Peace prize as a consolation.  So the Swedes couldn't resist ridiculing the Norwegian committee's latest lunacy.  "Heard the news?" they're asking.  "Obama just won the Nobel Fis Prize."

"Fis" is pronounced as rhyming with "peace." It means "fart" in Swedish - a particularly long and odiferous one.  The Swedes find it doubly funny because "fis" has the same meaning in Norwegian.

***
Speaking of jokes reminds me of Newt Gingrich...

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HOW CONGRESS CAUSES BANK FAILURES


Why did some banks and financial institutions fail and others succeed?

There are many reasons, but one common ingredient of those that have not failed is that they are organized as partnerships and/or are controlled by a family, or are closely held by a few senior officers. That is, they have "skin in the game."

So why are not more banks and other financial companies organized as partnerships?  Primarily because the tax code requires partners individually to pay full tax on their pro-rata share of the profits as they are earned.

A properly structured tax code would encourage companies to reward their executives on the long-run profitability of the enterprise, rather than on short-run profits, which is now the case.

Members of Congress rant against the short-term mentality of many in Wall Street and elsewhere, but it is precisely the tax and regulatory systems put in place by Congress that have caused much of the problem.

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THE FORECLOSURE SCAM AND THE REAL WAY TO CASH IN ON REAL ESTATE


It's hard to miss the full page newspaper ads - such as in the Washington Post and likely in your local paper as well - blaring about "the investment opportunity of a lifetime" by investing in foreclosures.

"The current rise in foreclosures is an incredible opportunity for you to make incredible real estate deals!" claims the WaPo ad. 

All of these ads are scams.  Yet it turns out that there is a genuine solution to the mortgage crisis, and those who understand it will be able to make a lot of money.  Let me tell you how to do it.

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CZAR VLAD IS GETTING SCORCHED


Red-headed spy Anna Fermanova is no longer the hottest thing in Russia. Now it's the 500 out-of-control wildfires devouring thousands of square miles of the countryside. This conflagration makes California's annual blazes look like Boy Scout campfires. The fires have consumed entire villages and ravaged the critical wheat harvest; now they threaten a key nuclear-weapons-research facility. A huge naval logistics base burned -- along with 200 helicopters and planes.

But the reputation of Russia's new czar, Prime Minister Vladimir "Czar Vlad" Putin, may have been scorched worst of all. The disastrous forest and peat-bog infernos encircling Moscow have exposed the Potemkin-village nature of Putin's vaunted efficiency. All the czar's men can't even put out a brush fire.

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HALF-FULL REPORT 10/23/09


It was a scary conversation.  I was talking to the chief of staff of a solid conservative Republican senator.  I think the world of him as a close friend, he's a true good-guy pro-American - but he's so wrapped up in the day-to-day process of the Senate that it can startle him when he's asked to glimpse the reality of beyond the Beltway.

We were talking about the fate of ObamaCare, and he had his black hat on telling me how the Dems will ram it through.  "If that happens," I said, "out could come the guns."

All he could manage in response was a garbled "Huh?"

"You and your boss need to grab people where you work by the lapels.  They have no real grasp of the depth of anger among their constituents.  Those constituents own hundreds of millions of guns.  There will be violence, buddy, if this thing passes, politicians gunned down in the streets."

To say he was gobsmacked is a  gross understatement.  I went on to assure him how disastrous I thought the consequences would be - not just for the recipients of the violence but for its perpetrators:  "Violence is extremely traumatizing for those who participate in it.  The one Eastern European country that overthrew Communism violently - Romania - still hasn't recovered from it."

Further, I went on, "violence may be just what Zero wants, as an excuse to steal people's guns and impose martial law.  The last thing we want is violence, it's only a truly last resort, which is why you and the good guys on the Hill need to do whatever it takes to stop ObamaCare in its tracks."

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$4 GAS COMING SOON COURTESY OF WASHINGTON


The price of oil soon will soar again. The present price of a barrel of oil, $50 or so, is below the price needed to meet current demand for a sustained period of time, and it is well below the price needed to meet global demand as the world economy rebounds.

In addition, with the U.S. Federal Reserve System greatly expanding the money supply - which will continue because of the explosion in government spending - the dollar is falling against other currencies; and given that global oil is priced in dollars, the price of oil will rise in dollar terms, just as it did two years ago.

Given that many in the political class seem to think the long run is the next five minutes, they do not see or want to see this tsunami coming.  Of course, they will blame anybody but themselves.

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