SHALE SHOCK: AMERICAN RESURGENCE AND EUROPEAN SUICIDE
The wonders of US shale gas continue to amaze. We receive fresh evidence by the day that swathes of American industry have acquired a massive and lasting advantage in energy costs over global rivals, demolishing assumptions about US economic decline.
Some fifty new projects have been unveiled in the US petrochemical industry. A $30bn investment blitz in underway in ethelyne and fetilizer plants alone.
This is happening just as other clusters of manufacturing - machinery, electrical products, transport equipment, furniture, etc - are "re-shoring" back from China to the US. A 16% annual rise in Chinese wages over the last decade has changed the game. PricewaterhouseCoopers calls it the "Homecoming: Why a resurgence in US manufacturing may be the next big bet."
The revival of the chemical industry is a spin-off from the greater drama of America's energy rebound, though a very big one. The US Energy Department announced last week that the country will produce 11.4m barrels a day (b/d) of oil, biofuels, and liquid hydrocarbons next year, almost as much as Saudi Arabia. This is largely due to hydraulic fracturing - blasting rock with water jets - to extract shale gas and oil.
Europe is going in the opposite direction, drifting towards energy suicide. So is Japan.
