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BYE-BYE BOLIVIA?

This map of Bolivia may about to become obsolete:

bolivia.jpg

For some time now, a lot of Bolivians have been conducting a “Gas War,” blocking roads, demonstrating in cities like El Alto and Cochabamba to prevent the export of Bolivian natural gas by foreign companies. The fellow coordinating the protests is Evo Morales, a Marxist prot�g� of Venezuelan dictator Hugo Chavez, the leader of the MAS (Movement Towards Socialism) Party, and also the leader of coca leaf growers (the stuff that’s made into cocaine). The protests brought down the presidency of Gonzalo Sanchez do Lozada in October 2003 and continue to escalate: 820 in the last 17 months. The current government of Sanchez’s successor Carlos Mesa in teetering.

There’s just one problem for Morales and Chavez. The Bolivians who are protesting are not the Bolivians who live where the gas is. Bolivia is about to split in two.

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DO HUMAN BEINGS HAVE EXPIRATION DATES?


After celebrating her 60th year on the throne in style this past week, Britain's Queen Elizabeth II can now look forward to breaking some more records.

She is already, at 86, Britain's oldest monarch (were she to die now, her son would immediately be the 12th oldest). On Sept. 10, 2015, she would pass Queen Victoria to become the longest-reigning monarch in British history. To beat Louis XIV (who succeeded to the throne at the age of 4) for the longest reign in European history, she would have to live to 98.

Elizabeth II is still going strong, but the maximum human lifespan isn't rising at anything like the rate of average life expectancy, which is rushing upward globally at the rate of about three months a year, mainly because of progress against premature mortality.

Indeed, we may already have hit some kind of limit for maximum lifespan-perhaps because natural selection, with its strict focus on reproductive success, has no particular need to preserve genes that would keep us going to 150.

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WEINER IS A SMALL-TIME LIAR COMPARED TO THE OBAMA FOLKS


From the founding of the American republic, members of the political class have been caught lying about sex and, no doubt, sex scandals will continue, men (and women) being who they are.

There often are demands that those involved resign - and sometimes they do because they are shamed or pushed. Most often, the real damage caused by lies about sex extend no further than to those directly involved, to their families and, at times, to their co-workers and colleagues.

Far more damaging are the financial, policy and legislative whoppers told by members of the administration and Congress that adversely affect almost every American.

Corporate executives and directors are often forced to resign after making untrue statements about the businesses they oversee and are sometimes subject to both civil and criminal penalties, including jail. Many public officials who engage in far more damaging untruths are rarely forced to resign, let alone face civil and criminal penalties. Is it not time the double standard ended?

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DEMOCRAT WEEDS IN THE CONSTITUTIONAL GARDEN


Here is the great conundrum of our day:  Why can't conservatives and Republicans be as ruthlessly and passionately focused on reducing government power as liberals and Democrats are on expanding it?

Until a solution to this is found, government guns and bureaucrats will relentlessly continue to control ever more of our lives, as they have for generations.  The most that can be achieved, such as under President Reagan, is to marginally slow down the continuing advance of fascism.

Here's a metaphor.  Suppose you had a beautiful garden and you let the weeds grow in it.  The only gardening you did was half-hearted because you had to work to make a living and couldn't take the time - or you were just too lazy - to trim and prune and de-weed adequately.

How would your garden look after a few years?  After a hundred years?  Would the folks who originally created the garden recognize it?  No - of course not, it would be an overgrown morass of weeds and brambles that had choked the garden out of existence.

Democrats are the weeds in America's garden of government.  Republicans are supposed to be the gardeners - and they've done such a lousy job they've let the weeds take over.  The problem is not so much that too many of them are RINOs or insufficiently principled.  It's that they don't understand the job Republicans are supposed to do.

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REAGAN 21: Applying RR’s Principles to the 21st Century


It's been nearly 20 years since Ronald Reagan left the presidency. Yet, even people who don't remember his presidency (or his governorship in California) as I do, have positive views of his legacy.

Yes, he lowered taxes and ended the Cold War. But we remember him for even more than that. He stood unwavering by his principles, his personal integrity was never in question and he had that immutable optimism.

Today, Congress has a record-low approval rating of 11 percent. Republicans lost the majority in part because they spent too much, had ethical lapses and did not deliver on illegal immigration and other issues. The people put Democrats in charge, but they have disappointed even more than Republicans.

Americans are crying out for leadership with principle, integrity and courage. They want to believe again in an optimistic vision for America's future.

Reagan 21 is the project of a group of about 20 senators and representatives to provide that fresh, bold leadership.

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CORTEZ AND QUIXOTE

My friends at the Wall Street Journal told me that Letters Editor Ned Crabb just couldn’t handle my response to the January 25 WSJ editorial “Quixotic Journey,” celebrating the 400th anniversary of Cervantes’ Don Quixote. “Let’s say it went a little bit over his head, Jack,” was how they put it.

So here it is for your enjoyment.

Dear Ned,

The 400th anniversary of the publication of Miguel de Cervantes’ “Don Quixote” is nothing to celebrate. It would be celebrating a curse.

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THE DYNAMICS OF CRUDE


This is Part I of a series on the changing dynamics of the single most important energy source for our economy, and will be for the foreseeable future - crude oil. 

First, we all must know and agree that not all crude oil is the same.  Each source of crude oil has a different chemical and physical make up, and how it is refined into all its various products (just for gasoline and diesel would make all but the most remote refineries a black hole for investors).

Further, types of crude oil being utilized in refineries have changed over the years. The days of the simple refinery consisting of a crude unit to heat and fractionate crude into say gasoline, diesel, kerosene (jet fuel) and fuel oil is long gone. 

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HALF-FULL REPORT 10/28/11


There's no resisting starting this week's HFR with the funniest headline of the year:  Man Beats Woman With Frozen Armadillo.  Only in Texas.

I also have to tell you about Steven Pinker's book that just came out:  The Better Angels of Our Nature:  Why Violence Has Declined.  Both Joel Wade and I are fans of Pinker, professor of evolutionary psychology and cognitive science at Harvard.  (See Joel's The Blank Slate, April 2006.)

Pinker takes a gargantuan amount of evidence  to amass an irrefutable case that we today are living in the most peaceful era of human history - by far.  Really far.  But is it the freest?  That's another question.  Euroweenies are way less violent than they used to be, but are also way less free, having relinquished their freedom to Leviathan.  This, of course, is Zero's plan for us.

Nonetheless, Pinker provides cause for optimism.  The trajectory of declining violence is one of centuries now.  We are on the cusp of staying on it while expanding our freedom, which we have the opportunity to do little more than 12 months from today.  All we have to do is carpe diem.

Speaking of Euroweenies...

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THE EMPLOYMENT FORMULA: LESS GOVERNMENT SPENDING = MORE JOBS


President Obama and many in his administration, as well as the Democrats left in Congress, keep expressing bewilderment as to why the economy is not producing the jobs they had promised with their "stimulus program."

The problem is that their model of what is supposed to happen is wrong, and it has been known to be wrong for decades.

In essence, they are fixated on the old Keynesian idea that government spending can create jobs. Milton Friedman, F.A. Hayek, plus many other Nobel Laureates and other fine economists such as Harvard's Robert Barro, have demonstrated that the concept is dead wrong and neither works in theory or practice.

Yet, because it gave politicians a rationale to spend more of other people's money, it is a bad idea that has never died.

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OBAMA IN OKINAWA


Yukio Hatoyama is a weird guy, so weird his countrymen have nicknamed him "E.T.", the Extraterrestrial.  What possessed the people of Japan to, 8½  months ago (Sept. 2009), select Yukio Hatoyama as their Prime Minister is a mystery for historians to unravel.  He screwed things up so badly with such a massive mix of incompetence and corruption that yesterday (6/02) he resigned.

The excuse he gave was Okinawa.  Yes, Okinawa. No one in mainland Japan really cares about Okinawa.  No one, certainly, in Hatoyama's party - the DJP (Democratic Party of Japan) - which won a landslide victory that sent the long-ruling LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) into the political wilderness last September.

What DJP politicians care about is preserving their power - which they look sure to lose in the upcoming elections next month, July 11.  Heading towards electoral disaster, they threw Hatoyama under the bus.  Okinawa is just the cover story.

Now - do you know of any other political party that won a landslide victory in their country's last election, and is now staring Electoral Armageddon in the face because of the gargantuan incompetence, corruption, and unpopularity of its leader?  Any party, any leader, any country come to mind?

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WE NEED PROTECTION FROM POLITICIANS TRYING TO PROTECT US


Skiers sometimes die, as do mountain climbers and motorcyclists and bicyclists, because what they do routinely is dangerous, risky.  Indeed, there is very little in human life that does not entail some measure of risk, even fatal risk. 

When I moved into Silverado Canyon in Orange Country, California, I did so with full knowledge that the place is exposed to certain serious hazards  -  earthquakes would hit harder because the houses are on steep slopes, fires would spread faster because vegetation is abundant, even mudslides are likely because after a fire the ground is ready to move around quite freely.

Yet I liked the area a lot. The Sierra Madre atmosphere, the funkiness of the neighborhood, the rustic abode in which I would be living meant enough to me to take on the risk of living there.  The region was also near enough to more populated and developed areas so that one wouldn't be out in the boonies like a hermit.

So, I decided that the risk of my home burning down wasn't great enough to override the benefits I would gain from living there. And to this day, even after the fires that may still consume my home, I would insist on this.

But California Senator Diane Feinstein and her cohorts disagree with me, think the risks of living in places such as Silverado Canyon are too great and no one ought to be permitted to assume them.  You might ask, "The risks to whom?" 

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CHENEY AND CONDI

There’s a red-breasted rumor bird that’s been flying around Washington for a while now, but recently it’s been nesting in Capitol Hill. Talk to just about any Congressional Committee Chairman and they’ll tell what this bird has whispered in their ear.

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EUROPE’S DEBTORS MUST PAWN THEIR GOLD


The latest news from the EU Crisis Front:  Southern Europe's debtor states must pledge their gold reserves and national treasure as collateral under a €2.3 trillion stabilization plan gaining momentum in Germany. 

The German scheme -- known as the European Redemption Pact -- offers a form of "Eurobonds Lite" that can be squared with the German constitution and breaks the political logjam. It is a highly creative way out of the debt crisis, but is not a soft option for Italy, Spain, Portugal, and other states in trouble.

The plan is drafted by the German Council of Economic Experts and inspired by Alexander Hamilton's Sinking Fund in the United States -- created in 1790 to clean up the morass of debts left by the Revolutionary War. Flourishing Virginia was comparable to Germany today.

Germany would have a lockhold over the fund, able to enforce discipline. Each state would have to pledge 20% of their debt as collateral. "The assets could be taken from the country's currency and gold reserves. The collateral nominated would only be used in the event that a country does not meet its payment obligations," said the proposal.

This demand could enflame opinion in Italy and Portugal. Both states have kept their bullion, resisting the rush to sell by Britain and others. Italy has 2,451 tons of gold, valued at €98bn in March.

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HALF-FULL REPORT 10/21/11


Rough justice.  You've all seen the phone camera pics and videos.  They are horrific, but you can't have much sympathy for a murderous monster like Gaddafi.  He got what he deserved - especially since he was given a plethora of opportunities to safely leave Libya and live out his days in comfortable exile.  The choice to end like this was his.

So Bush got Saddam and Zero will claim he got Gaddafi - even though Marco Rubio was right in observing that it was the Brits and French.  The contrast in how they were "gotten" is, however, instructive in the extreme. 

That contrast is between the humane calm professionalism of American soldiers pulling Saddam Hussein out of his spider hole, and the bloody frenzy of ragtag Libyan rebels pulling Moammar Gaddafi out of his drain pipe. 

This is the difference between civilization and barbarism, between democracy and mobocracy.  It is tempting to say the difference is reflected in that between the Tea Party and Occupy Wall Street.

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BALKAN HOPE


Sarajevo, Bosnia-Herzegovina. This is a beautiful place with a tragic history. As Communist Yugoslavia broke up after the fall of the Soviet Union, a Serbian nationalist by the name of Ratko Mladic commanded the Serbian forces that not only killed many residents in Sarajevo, but is said to have conducted the massacre of over 8,000 Bosnian men and boys in the Bosnian city of Srebrenica in July 1995.

Mladic was captured in Serbia last week (5/26) and now is in Scheveningen Prison in the Hague, awaiting a war-crimes trial.


The evening after the announced capture of Mr. Mladic, there did not appear to be much in the way of celebration that one might have expected in Sarajevo. Many young Bosnians, both men and women, were in the bars and restaurants having a good time as they do on most summer weekends. Good Moslems are not supposed to drink but, even though Bosnia is a majority-Moslem country, most seem to be far from rigorous in following their faith..

As one young Bosnian who had been wounded in the war said to me, "Most of us now are more interested in building our lives than we are following the religion of our ancestors and fighting old grudges."  There's hope now for the Balkans.

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