2010 SENATE SITREP
Things are suddenly going so badly for the Zerocrats now that the GOP has started to think "victory" in 2010. But that's for the House, where anything close to the Pubs' 52-seat gain in 1994 would get their majority back.
What about the Senate? November 2010 is a long ways away, but not that far for a "situation report" regarding the GOP's chances for retaking the Senate. Things not only can but undoubtedly will change drastically over the coming months, but here's what and who to keep your eye on now.
With Minnesota's embarrassment, Al "Diapers" Franken, giving the Dems 60 seats and the Pubs 40, it will take a massive switch of 11 seats for the latter to pull it off.
Switches of this magnitude are rare, but they do occur. In 1958, the Dems gained a net 16 seats, while in 1980, the Pubs gained 12. Both resulted in shifts of majority status. Other years of large switches were 1994 with the Pubs up 8, and last year, 2008, with the Dems up 8 plus Specter's defection for a net of up 9.
Next year, 36 seats are at stake, evenly split at 18 each between R's & D's. Let's dispense with the ones that seem now clearly safe.
