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THE FRAGILITY OF ISLAMOFASCISM


[This is the text of a speech I am giving to the Council for National Policy at Amelia Island, Florida, Friday, February 2.]

It has been my good fortune to experience a great deal of the world and get to know people from close to 200 countries.  There is a common humanity shared by most folks around the globe.  The fact that there has never been a war between two genuine democracies clearly shows that most people prefer peace to war, and simply want a decent life for their families and children.

Yet as we all know, history is full of examples of people going berserk, falling victim to some frenzied hysteria.  It can be a frenzy of paranoia, such as the lunacy we are currently experiencing over "global warming."  It can be a frenzy of greed, like the dotcom bubble or the Tulip Craze. 

The worst are frenzies of criminal insanity, like the Gulag Communism of the Soviet Union, the National Socialism of Hitler's Germany, or the barbaric imperialism of Tojo's Japan.

An entire people like the Germans or Japanese can go criminally, murderously nuts.  Such mass criminality has to be ended by whatever means necessary.  But once the frenzy is over, the people crazed by it can become normal human beings again.

Just such a mass criminal insanity has today taken over the minds of a substantial fraction of the world's Moslems.  Today, we're going to talk about how to put an end to it.

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ENJOYING GLOBAL WARMING LIKE THE ROMANS AND VIKINGS


There is a wonderful new book, Unstoppable Global Warming: Every 1,500 Years, by distinguished climate physicist Fred Singer and award-winning environmental economist Dennis Avery. The conclusion of their book in a nutshell is that, yes, the world is getting a bit warmer, but this is just the natural cycle.

They provide overwhelming evidence this warming would occur with or without mankind increasing CO2 emissions or doing anything else. The good news is that if we realize we cannot stop global warming, and concentrate on constructively dealing with the problems it causes -- which are all manageable at reasonable cost -- and then enjoy the benefits, mankind will do just fine.

We have already had two cycles in recorded history; the Roman warming (200 B.C. to 600 A.D.) which was a very prosperous period, and the medieval warming (900 to 1300) during which farms were created in Greenland and Iceland. The modern warming period began about 1850, well before mankind was producing massive amounts of CO2.

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WHY GOVERNMENT ALWAYS GETS BIGGER, NEVER SMALLER


Assume you are a mid-level bureaucrat in a government regulatory agency, and you know your pay and title depend on how many regulations you are responsible for administering, and the number of people who work for you. Do you think you would push for more or fewer regulations?

Assume you are a corporate regulatory compliance officer, and again you know your pay depends in part upon the number of regulations you must comply with, and the number of people who work for you. Would you tend to favor a world with more or fewer regulations?

Or, assume you are an elected politician, and a major scandal occurs because a financial manager has embezzled funds. Are you more likely to get coverage on the TV news if you say, "We already have laws against theft, and the authorities will take care of it," or if you say, "We need more regulations to stop greedy financiers"?

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EUROPE FOR EUROPEANS


Last weekend's European Parliament and British local county council elections (6/04-07) were not only a victory for the right over the left. More significantly, they were indications of the growing rejection of the last 60 years of denationalized European history.

They were, particularly, a sharp assertion by many indigenous Europeans that they will not put up with losing their culture to overly assertive Islamic immigrants in Europe.

The latter point was made emphatically by the voters of Holland, Hungary, Finland, Britain, Austria, Denmark and Italy.  But the loudest vox populi was heard in Britain.

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THE HALF-FULL REPORT


You know the old glass half-empty/half-full perspective.  Whenever it's mentioned I always think of Dennis Turner

Many years ago, we were having a discussion whether the future of freedom was bright or bleak.  Arguing for the former, I mentioned Reason Magazine's "Trends" feature, which itemized recent pro-freedom developments.

Dennis instantly responded, "Yes, but it's mis-named.  It should be called "Anomalies."

But we are not eternal pessimists here at To The Point.  We aren't naïvely Pollyannic either, but are instead rationally optimistic, always on the look out for opportunities and solutions instead of being bummed out on dangers and problems.

And we'd like you to participate in the hunt.  So we are instituting the TTP Half-Full Report.

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BAD KARMA FOR CASTRO


Death came quick to two of the world's most evil men recently - Sapamurat "Turkmenbashi" Niyazov, dictator of Turmenistan, dead of a heart attack on December 21, and Saddam Hussein.  It's coming slowly to a third - Fidel Castro.

Castro's medical care has been overseen by a team of physicians from Spain, some of whom are providing details of his condition to the Centro Nacional de Inteligencia (CNI), Spain's CIA.  The picture is truly horrific.

After four disastrous surgeries, he can now only be fed intravenously.  He is constantly doped-up on pain-killers like morphine.  The prolonged agony and suffering he has endured for seven months may even have exceeded that of the thousands of political prisoners he ordered tortured during the decades of his tyranny.

Castro is dying ugly.  If there is anyone who deserves such bad karma, it is him.

There is almost no way he can live for much longer - a few weeks or months at the most.  Once he goes, his brother Raul will try desperately to hold the dictatorship together, and he will fail - fast.

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THREE STRIKES FOR LIBERALS ON TAX CUTS


Many in the Washington establishment were shocked Aug. 17, when the Congressional Budget Office reported a surge of "unanticipated tax receipts" that will sharply push down this year's deficit.

Those who had been proclaiming the Bush tax rate cuts would result in a big reduction in tax revenues tried to hide their disappointment. It was tough being proved wrong again after having said the same thing when Ronald Reagan cut tax rates in the early 1980s.

We have now had three major experiments with tax rate reduction in the last half-century, and each time both economic growth and tax revenues have surged, despite the fears and cries of the anti-tax-cut crowd.

How much more evidence will they need to understand the difference between tax rates and tax revenues?

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AMERICAS FIRST MOSLEM PRESIDENT


During his White House years, William Jefferson Clinton -- someone Judge Sonia Sotomayor might call a "white male" -- was dubbed "America's first black president" by a black admirer.

Applying the standard of identity politics and pandering to a special interest that earned Mr. Clinton that distinction, Barack Hussein Obama would have to be considered America's first Moslem president.

This is not to say, necessarily, that Mr. Obama actually is a Moslem any more than Mr. Clinton actually is black.

However - after his five months in office, and most especially after his just-concluded visit to Saudi Arabia and Egypt, a stunning conclusion seems increasingly plausible:

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ARABIA IN AMERICA


No, this is not about the coming Islamification of America or similar conspiracy theory.  It's about energy independence, and how crucial that is to defeating Islamofascism.

Remember that "senior White House official" that I talked to yesterday (1/10), mentioned in The Bright Side of 2007?  Here's another thing he told me:

You'd be amazed at how much time we waste in the White House worrying about some tribal chief in Nigeria, a nutcase in Venezuela, Sunni-Shia nonsense in the Middle East, or how best to walk on Saudi eggshells, all because of oil.  We have got to be free of all this.  Almost no issue involving national security is more important than energy independence.
This why we are soon to have an amazingly vicious struggle on Capitol Hill over a technology that can result in our producing far more oil than Saudi Arabia.  And it's going to be between Democrats.

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ABOLISH THE FED?


Miami. The skyline appears to have more cranes than buildings, as if the city were just one vast construction site, and that has been the good news.

The bad news here in Miami, as well as most major U.S. cities, is that the real estate boom of the last few years is coming to an end. The villain in this drama is the U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed), which fueled the boom and now is destroying it.

The Fed, by its own admission, has been failing to keep inflation within its own targets. Yet, the Fed's main responsibility is to provide the U.S. with a sound currency; one that neither loses value (inflation), nor gains value (deflation).

The Fed has a long history of reacting too late, then overreacting, to the inflation or deflation it causes. One reason the Fed keeps failing is its overreliance on lagging indicators of inflation, such as the well-known consumer price index (CPI).

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RUSSIA’S POWER GRAB FROM THE GOBI DESERT TO THE BLACK SEA


St. Petersburg, Russia. The economic glitterati have descended on Russia's "second capital." President Dmitry Medvedev, vice premiers and ministers, CEOs of Intel, Nissan, Coca-Cola and other Forbes 500 companies, and oligarchs are rubbing shoulders with superstar pundits such as Thomas Friedman and Nuriel Rubini.

All have flocked to the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum.

Russians are all smiles after the purchase of 2 percent of Facebook, and state-owned Sberbank's participation in acquisition of the General Motors Corp.'s German subsidiary Opel.

The public discourse is all about diversification, innovation and coping with the global crisis. Mr. Medvedev says he wants innovation-based growth. But privately, many sotto voce discussions turn to the question: What is Russia's global strategy?

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THE BRIGHT SIDE OF 2007


Any conservative so Pollyannic as to be optimistic about 2007 risks comparison to the folks being crucified in the Monty Python movie The Life of Brian while cheerily singing, "Always look on the bright side of life."

But so far, so good.  We're off to a great start.  For openers, at the very moment Bush was giving his speech last night, in which he promised to "seek out and destroy" the networks of Iran and Syria supporting insurgency in Iraq, five US helicopters landed on the consulate of Iran in Arbil, Iraqi Kurdistan, disgorging US soldiers who told the Iranian occupants in three languages to surrender or be killed.

They proceeded to seize all the consulate's computers and documents, then turned the building over to Kurdish "Peshmerga" security forces.

Now that is cool.  And Bush has just begun.

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HOW TO SAVE AMERICA FROM BECOMING ARGENTINA


If you knew the U.S. government was going bankrupt primarily because of spending on Social Security and Medicare, and the only solutions were the following, which one would you pick?

(1) Doubling individual and corporate income tax rates.

(2) Immediately cutting Social Security and Medicare benefits by two-thirds.

(3) Immediately cutting all federal discretionary spending (including defense) by 143 percent.

(4) Reforming Social Security and Medicare by moving from the current defined benefit plans to a program of individual investment accounts, like the current 401(k) and Medical Savings Account (MSA) plans.

Many leading economists of the political right and left have concluded the U.S. government will not be able to pay its creditors, including its current and future retirees, the full value of promised benefits, unless current policies are radically changed.

So we must choose.

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CONTEMPTIBLE IN CAIRO


From an Israeli perspective, Mr. Obama's speech yesterday (6/04) in Cairo was deeply disturbing. Both rhetorically and programmatically, Obama's speech was a renunciation of America's strategic alliance with Israel.

Rhetorically, Obama's sugar coated the pathologies of the Islamic world - from the tyranny that characterizes its regimes, to the misogyny, xenophobia, Jew hatred, and general intolerance that characterizes its societies.

In so doing he made clear that his idea of pressing the restart button with the Islamic world involves erasing the moral distinctions between the Islamic world and the free world.

In contrast, Obama's perverse characterization of Israel - of the sources of its legitimacy and of its behavior - made clear that he shares the Arab world's view that there is something basically illegitimate about the Jewish state.  

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YOU PREDICT


In reading the profusion of predictions for 2007 so many of you were kind enough to send in this past week, what became most obvious is the individuality of To The Point members.  TTPers think for themselves.

Thus it has been such an enjoyable experience to read them all.  I want to thank you so much for every one.  I hope you'll understand that there are too many to discuss, that I have to pick and choose.  I also won't quote anyone with their full name - with one exception.

Bill Gregory informs me that his wife Carole, after a wee dram or two of 18 year-old single malt, predicts that Hillary Clinton will remove herself from the 2008 presidential race after discovering she has testicular cancer.

So seriously, folks....

All the rest were in fact serious.  Some were so pessimistic that, should they prove true, we'll need to be heavily fortified with single malt ourselves just to get through the year.    Yet others are equally optimistic.  Here's a compendium of what you predict for 2007.

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