THE RUINATION OF RUSSIA
Russia is running out of money. President Vladimir Putin is taking a strategic gamble, depleting the Kremlin's last reserve funds to cover the budget and to pay for an escalating war in Syria at the same time.
The three big rating agencies have all issued alerts over recent days, warning that the country's public finances are deteriorating fast and furiously. Alexei Kudrin, the former finance minister, says the Kremlin has no means of raising large loans to ride out the oil bust. The pool of internal savings is pitifully small.
Vladislav Inozemtsev, from the Center for Post-Industrial Studies in Moscow, says Russia is entering a period of pauperized decline. Russia’s GDP, once at $2.3 trillion, is now at $1.2 trillion, the size of Mexico’s and smaller than that of Texas ($1.4 trillion), and continues to rapidly shrink.
Yet Russia is pressing ahead with massive rearmament, pushing defense spending towards 5% of GDP and risking the sort of military overstretch that bankrupted the Soviet Union. Bankruptcy and ruination are clearly on Russia’s horizon under Putin.
