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WILL CHINA POP THE WORLD’S BUBBLE?


China's Xi Jinping has cast the die. After weighing up the unappetizing choice before him for a year, he has picked the lesser of two poisons.

The balance of evidence is that most powerful Chinese leader since Mao Tse-tung aims to prick China's $24 trillion credit bubble early in his 10-year term, rather than putting off the day of reckoning for yet another cycle.

This may be well-advised for China, but the rest of the world seems remarkably nonchalant over the implications. Brazil, Russia, South Africa, and the commodity bloc are already in the cross-hairs.

"China is getting serious about deleveraging," says Patrick Legland and Wei Yao from Societe Generale. "It is difficult to gently deflate a bubble. There is a very real possibility that this slow deflation may get out of control and lead to a hard landing."

Societe Generale has defined its hard landing as a fall in Chinese growth to a trough of 2%, with two quarters of contraction. This would cause a 30% slide in Chinese equities, a 50% crash in copper prices, and a drop in Brent crude to $75.

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HALF-FULL REPORT 08/23/13


Is everybody blind?" "What in the world has happened to us?"

Two bulls-eye questions asked by ordinary Americans that we all should be asking each other. 

The first was asked by Marine Colonel Peter Martino last week (8/12) in a Concord NH city council hearing regarding its police department's proposed acquisition (with Homeland Security money) of a "counter attack vehicle" to protect Concord from "domestic terrorist threats" such as the liberty advocates of the Free State Project.
 
Thanks to Col. Martino, and the video of his testimony's going viral, people may start catching on that their local police department is being converted into Obama's Storm Troopers, militarily armed to crush any attempt to rebel against his 1984 fascism.

The highest priority of conservatives on a local basis should be to demand the defunding of their community's police militarization. Almost every city above 25,000 population in America has its own militarized SWAT Team.  Does yours?

Regarding the second question, since you're not a hermit in a Himalayan cave, you watch Duck Dynasty that keeps setting records for the most-watched show on cable-tv.  The show has become a cultural phenomenon as the Robertson family is hilariously but clean-decent funny, pro-family, pro-life, unapologetically Christian, self-made wealthy and unapologetically capitalist, and loves guns and hunting. 

The show is incredibly popular and is the antithesis of all liberal values.  This was made sparkling clear with a video of a speech given by Phil Robertson, the family patriarch, that has gone wildly viral this week.  This quote is why:

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CORRUPT TAX COLLECTORS DISPENSING FEAR!


Do you think you receive fair value for the money you spend on taxes? The fact is you don't, because there is excessive corruption in both the way your tax money is collected and in the way it is spent. Many countries are notorious for the tax collectors being "on the take." At the federal level, it is rare for an Internal Revenue Service agent to put his hand out, but that does not rule out considerable corruption.

The corruption starts with Congress. Members of Congress "buy votes" by handing out "free stuff." It includes expenditures on programs that few, if any, congressmen would spend their own money on, plus programs that are filled with waste and fraud that go on year after year (e.g., studies have shown that Medicare and Medicaid misspend up to a third of their budgets).

Members of Congress also buy campaign contributions by proposing and voting for expenditures that reward certain companies, industries, and unions Solyndra and the General Motors bailout come to mind. This kind of buying of votes and campaign contributions goes on in most democracies. The United States may be the world's leader in vote and contribution buying through special provisions in the tax code.

It is not hard to figure out why the members of the House Ways and Means Committee and the Senate Finance Committee, the two tax-writing committees, tend to receive much larger campaign contributions than others who sit on less influential committees.

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GET OVER IT! WE ARE NOT ALL CREATED EQUAL


The Marine Corps Times recently published a handful of articles in regard to opening Infantry Officer Course (IOC) to females and the possibility of integrating women into the infantry community. In mid-April the Commandant has directed the ‘integration' of the first wave of female officers into IOC this summer following completion of The Basic School (TBS).

Before the Marine Corps moves forward with this concept, should we not ask the hard questions and gain opinions of combat-experienced Marines (male and female alike) as to the purpose, the impact, and the gains from such a move?

As a combat-experienced Marine officer, and a female, I am here to tell you that we are not all created equal, and attempting to place females in the infantry will not improve the Marine Corps as the Nation's force-in-readiness or improve our national security.

This issue is being pushed by several groups, one of which is a small committee of civilians appointed by the Secretary of Defense called the Defense Advisory Committee on Women in the Service (DACOWITS). Surprise: none of the current  committee members are on active duty or have any recent combat or relevant operational experience relating to the issue they are attempting to change.

Here's what they and the DoD need to know: should the Marine Corps attempt to fully integrate women into the infantry, we as an institution are going to experience a colossal increase in crippling and career-ending medical conditions for females.

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DEMOCRAT MEGADEATH


A giant fat German guy (six-foot-six, 300 pounds of blubber) with a decidedly sketchy background (pleading guilty to embezzlement is just one of many examples) and a goofy artificial name would seem an outlandish candidate for a catalyst of Democrat Megadeath - but you know what truth is stranger than.

Kim Schmitz grew up in Kiel, Germany, where he dropped out of 9th grade and became a criminal child prodigy like the kid Leonardo DiCaprio played in Catch Me If You Can.  After an endless series of scrapes with the law (including two convictions both with 2-year probations), in 2005 at age 31 he founded a company in Hong Kong called Megaupload, a "file-hosting service" with an elaborate array of websites for video sharing, music sharing, and online commerce.

By this time, Schmitz had legally changed his name to Kim Dotcom, and moved to New Zealand.  Because Megaupload made it super-easy for members to share anything video including full-length movies and anything audio including the latest rock hits and albums, it exploded in popularity with 50 million visitors a day, $100 million in annual revenue, and accounting for 4% of all internet traffic worldwide.

For this, Hollywood declared him Enemy #1 and ordered Zero and Holder Justice to destroy him.  Big mistake.  He's now going after Zero's jugular and that of the Dem Party.  As a result, both will bleed to death on November 6th.

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THE CREATION OF AN ANTI-ISLAMOFASCISM MOVEMENT


[This memo is being sent to the leaders of every major conservative organization in America]


TO:  Conservative Leaders
FR:  Jack Wheeler & Steve Baldwin
RE:  The Creation of an Anti-Islamofascism Movement

One cannot write the history of the Cold War without acknowledging the key role played by the American Anti-Communist Movement.  It was a broad movement involving many different organizations that, for four decades, kept its focus on the defeat of the Soviet Empire.  And it succeeded.

Indeed, Anti-Communism was the defining issue that brought hundreds of thousands of people into the conservative movement from the 1950s through the 1980s.  There was a sense that this movement had to be successful if not only America but Western Civilization itself were to survive.

Today, the forces of Islamofascism have picked up where Communism left off, and have embarked upon a World War of global conquest that may last for decades if not longer.

But we don't seem to be prepared for this war.  Unlike the movement created during the Cold War, there doesn't seem to be much of an infrastructure to combat Islamofascism.

If we truly care about our children and grandchildren, then we must create an Anti-Islamofascist Movement modeled after the Anti-Communist Movement.  Here's a few areas that an Anti-Islamofascism Movement could be addressing: 

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THE RFM REACTION

Ufda.  That's Wow! in Swedish.  The reaction to the concept of a Radio Free Mexico has been amazing.  Yesterday (4/19), for example, I was interviewed on the Roger Hedgecock talk show in San Diego, and he was so excited about RFM he barraged me with questions:  Have you got your funding yet?  When will it be launched?  Do you have your programming lined up?

I had to explain to him:  "Roger - we only came up with this idea six days ago."  So let me give you an update.

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THE ROGUE WEASELS CLUB


How upset are you over the CIA “secret prison scandal”? Maybe you said, “What scandal?”, or maybe you’ve glanced at stories about it carried in the back pages of your newspaper. Here in Europe, it’s the giant screaming front page headline story on every paper you pick up from England to Germany.

The Europeans are in a state of high emotional froth over CIA “renditions” of Moslem terrorists seized in one of their countries and taken to a “secret prison” in Poland or elsewhere. The Euroweenies are far more concerned with the “human rights” of the terrorists than they are about the threat of terrorists to kill them.

If you think all of this is just an excuse to bash the CIA and indulge in anti-Americanism, you’re right – just as planned by the weasels.

Everyone on the right, it seems nowadays, from the editorials in the Wall Street Journal to conservative columnists like Mona Charen and bloggers like John Hinderacker, are issuing calls to “Investigate the CIA!” They have been suckered by the left.

They should instead be demanding, “Investigate the weasels, not the agency!”


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Who Bombed Madrid And Other Interesting Questions

According to a usually reliable French investigator and author, Spanish authorities are now convinced that the Madrid massacre was organized by our old friend, Abu Musab al-Zarqawi. Zarqawi has also been credited for being one of the major organizers of the terror war against the Coalition in Iraq, and was named by Secretary of State Colin Powell in his presentation to the Security Council prior to Operation Iraqi Freedom as a key al Qaeda leader, with ties to the Saddam Hussein regime in Iraq.

A busy and very wicked man, in short.

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Fundamental Protection

The most fundamental protection you install on your computer is virus protection.

There are a number of major players besides Norton: Mcafee, F-Prot, Kaspersky, NOD32 (a corporate version of Norton), and others. You might think choosing among them is easy. Simply test each one against all the known viruses and select the product that catches the most.

Unfortunately, it’s not so simple.

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THE AIR FORCE’S PROBLEM IS BIGGER THAN THE F-22 VS. THE F-35


In last week's Half-Full Report (see the section on Debbie Does USAF), Jack asked me to comment about America's F-22A Raptor and F-35A/B/C Lightning II fighters.  Namely: if the F-22 Raptor was the better fighter, why was it canceled in favor of the F-35?

Both fighters sit at the nexus of some pretty big assumptions and questions about US air power in the next few decades, so it's hard to give a brief answer, but I'm going to try.

In brief: Yes, the F-22 is a much better fighter than the F-35. Indeed, it remains the best fighter in the world by a wide margin. The flip side is that it can't perform some roles, costs a lot to maintain, and will cost quite a lot ($7 billion or more) to upgrade to modern standards.

But the bottom line is thatI don't think the core problem is F-22 vs. F-35. The core problem is...

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HALF-FULL REPORT 08/16/13


Zurich, Switzerland.  I'm here speaking at a conference and having a great time. 

I'm sure you've heard of the Oprah-in-Zurich media frenzy with headlines all over the world, almost all of which assumed Oprah was the victim of racist bigotry.  As did the Swiss Tourism Office, cravenly apologizing without even bothering to determine the truth or defend the salesgirl.  Oprah Gets Apology for Racist Diss in Handbag Shop is how ABC News so objectively put it. 

So it was up to the salesgirl to defend herself - and she did, saying Oprah lied straight out.  As one headline put it: Oprah ‘Cannibalized' Me: Shop Clerk in Zurich Handbag Scandal Says TV Host Is Lying About Alleged Racist Incident.  Good for her - and good for her boss, Tres Pommes owner Trudi Goetz, who supported her employee's side of the story and called Oprah's accusation "absurd."

Speaking of unspeakably tiresome phony libtard frenzies about racism, we were subjected to a second one this week. This time over a rodeo in Missouri.

We need to notice what these two "Libtards Crying Racism" spasms have in common besides hysterically using the only card they have left in their deck now.  It's what they both have in common with the Trayvon Martin-George Zimmerman debacle.

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GLOBAL WARMING’S FATAL CONCEIT


Much of Northern Europe, including Britain, is suffering under the coldest winter and spring of the last 30 to 100 years. The Northeastern part of the United States has had a record cold March. The record cold in Europe has killed thousands and cost billions. It was not supposed to be this way.

Back in 1998, scientist Michael Mann published a paper with the famous "hockey stick" showing a sharp rise in global temperatures. Mr. Mann and others argued that if global action was not taken immediately, then the temperature rise would be rapid and uncontrollable. Much of Mr. Mann's work was the basis for Al Gore's famous film "An Inconvenient Truth." What has turned out to be an inconvenient truth is that Mr. Mann and his allies were sloppy in their research and engaged in a campaign to disparage their critics.

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WAS IT STOLEN?


 [Note by JW:  We are being asked to believe that Romney got close to three million fewer votes in 2012 than John McCain got in 2008. That's not possible.  This election is a fraud.  I don't know exactly how - rigging voting machines, hacking tabulation software, not counting military absentee ballots, whatever.  What I do know is that it is totally beyond believability and into the realm of ridiculously absurd that Romney actually got any fewer votes than McCain in 2008, much less millions fewer.  Thus the answer to Dave's question must be Yes.]

I hate going down a birther road, but yes I believe the election was stolen, and the implications of that are very bad.

First of all, Obama received 10 million less votes than he did in 2008.  The part that is unbelievable is that Romney received 3 million less votes than McCain.  At the end of the day, Obama won in the 4 critical swing states by 500,000 votes.

But it is worse than that.  We can look at who voted.  By examining the number of Independents and their preference shift among actual voters, we know that 5 million Independents changed their votes from Obama to Romney.  So Romney started the day 2.5 million votes ahead of where McCain was in 2008.

This means that 5.5 million Republican voters are not accounted for.

They didn't show up at the polls, or their votes were not counted.  We know now that no subgroup of the coalition decided to sit out.  So the current attempts to blame the Social Conservatives are stupid.  All of our groups showed up to vote at the rates they did in 2008.  For this to be true, over 10% of Republicans needed to decide not to vote this year, who did vote in 2008.

Does that make any sense?

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THE SURVIVAL OF ASIAN EUROPE


Stepanakert, Nagorno-Karabagh, de facto Armenia.
  The only thing most Americans know about Armenia is that it’s where Kim Kardashian’s family comes from.  Me, the only thing I know about Kim Kardashian is that she’s one of those PR Celebrities famous for being famous.  What exactly she’s popular for I haven’t a clue. 

Skye, of course, knows not only about Armenia, but this part of it seized from Azerbaijan in 1992.  Yet even he was concerned.  “Stay safe!” he cautioned.  Yes, this was a war zone until recently, but the greatest danger I face here is imbibing too much Armenian brandy—after all, Winston Churchill considered it the best brandy in the world.

Actually, the scary part is getting here – driving a ridiculously dangerous mountain road with no guard rails known as the Lachin Corridor (see map) connecting Stepanakert to Armenia proper.  It’s even more fun at night in rain and heavy fog.  They’ve built a new airport and promise to start flights as soon as they believe the Azerbaijanis won’t shoot the planes down.

Once you’re here, though, it’s a big surprise.  This place is booming, with construction cranes at work all over, new hotels and restaurants, folks brimming with optimism, not a soldier in sight, streets so safe kids play at night with no worries.  I have a good internet connection and a cold Kotayk beer. 

It’s great being here – and a perfect place to talk about the survival of Asian Europe.

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