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Wednesday, February 11, 2026

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THE NO INTELLIGENCE ESTIMATES


One item of thankful good news as we're buffeted by the Dow Jones' death-spiral, reports of the domestic automakers' incipient demise, and ever-more-assertive testing by various adversaries of the not-yet-inaugurated "young president": Thomas Fingar is leaving the building on Beech Street NW in Washington DC.

Tom Fingar's is not, of course, exactly a household name. Nor is the building he will depart a publicly recognized fixture in Washington's official real estate.  Still, when the history of the Iranian nuclear threat - and all that flows from it - is written, his dismal tenure as Deputy Director for Analysis in the Office of National Intelligence will figure prominently.

After all, at a critical moment in the Bush administration, as evidence mounted in late 2007 of the true and ominous nuclear weapons ambitions of an Iranian regime that professed an interest only in peaceful nuclear energy, Fingar was instrumental in producing one of history's most politicized and misleading National Intelligence Estimates (NIEs).  

Under Fingar, NIE really should stand for No Intelligence Estimate.  Including the one he issued just before his departure, "Global Trends 2025."

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BEACONS OF SOVEREIGNTY


In 1974, I took a year off from my doctoral studies and teaching philosophy at the University of Southern California at the suggestion of the Chairman of the USC School of Philosophy, John Hospers.

John had been the 1972 Presidential Candidate of the Libertarian Party and was involved in the New Country Project.  Financed by wealthy libertarians such as Mike Oliver from Nevada, this was an effort to locate some viable piece of real estate in the world that could be transformed into an actual sovereign nation founded on libertarian principles of minimal government.

Such a country was to have total free trade with no customs or tariffs on any imported goods; no corporate, income, or sales taxes; and a government restricted to a police force, a small professional military, and courts. 

Government expenses were to be paid from contract fees - for the courts to recognize any sort of contractual relationship, the parties would pay a fee for the contract to be legally binding.

John Hospers and Mike Oliver sent me out into the world to locate where such a new country could be established.  I spent a year going to some very weird places.


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DASCHLE’S HEALTH FASCISM


[Note:  Please read this in the context of The Word That Can Save America --JW]

As President-elect Obama's apparent choice for health and human services secretary and as White House health care czar, it is a fair guess that Tom Daschle's view on health care legislation may be decisive.

So it is worth reading his book Critical: What We Can Do About the Health-Care Crisis, in which the gracious former Senate leader lays out without equivocation both the policy he recommends and the tactics for how to pass it.

It is pure, unadulterated fascism.

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THE RESILIENCE OF MAN


dubrovnik1

This is the medieval walled city of Dubrovnik on the Dalmatian Coast of the Adriatic Sea, an arm of the Mediterranean across from Italy.  The English playwright George Bernard Shaw declared on a visit here in 1929, "If you want to see heaven on earth, come to Dubrovnik."

Over a million visitors a year from all over the world agree with Shaw, marveling at its huge fortress walls, swimming in the sparkling clear Adriatic, choosing which hidden restaurant in a myriad of tiny alleys to enjoy marvelous food and wine, and partying all night at the Troubador Jazz Café owned by my friend Marko Breskovic.

Only the smallest fraction of them pay any attention to this sign affixed to the stones at the city's entrance:


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THE ONLY GOOD PIRATE IS A DEAD PIRATE


Somali pirates got a shock last week: The ship they seized carried dozens of Russian-built tanks, along with a wealth of heavy weapons and ammo. It was more than they'd bargained for.

As I write, the Ukrainian ship MV Faina sits at anchor off a notorious pirate port, its crew held captive by 30 or more Somalis. US Navy warships circle the vessel. Our helicopters buzz its deck.

We don't want that weaponry falling into terrorist hands. The Somalis lack the facilities to unload 40-ton tanks, but the smaller weapons aboard would delight the local al Qaeda franchise.

But we don't know what to do next. Which is ridiculous.

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THE LUNACY OF A BRITISH LEGACY


The border between Pakistan and India is one thousand eight hundred miles long, running from the Karakorum-Himalaya mountains next to China all the way to the Indian Ocean.  Along its entire length, there is one land crossing for foreigners, between Lahore, Pakistan and Amritsar, India, called Wagha.

To make the crossing, you take a taxi to the Pak side of Wagha, where porters are waiting to carry your bags.  After going through passport and customs control, you walk a thousand yards over bare ground to the Indian side, where your Pak porters turn over your bags to a swarm of Indian porters who fight amongst themselves to carry them.

When the porters start grabbing your bags from each other, you have to physically intervene to keep your bags from being torn apart.  It is over 100 degrees in the shade.


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TIME TO RELEARN THE CONNECTION BETWEEN PROSPERITY AND FREEDOM


There is nothing new under the sun. The United States has endured major financial panics in 1837, 1873, 1893, 1907, 1929, 1933 and now in 2008. Most of these economic events had ideological and political consequences - as well as the inevitable economic play-outs.

And, if history is any guide, contrary to the hope of some and the fear of others, this is not the end of capitalism as we have known it.

But it is true that usually, major economic events have had political as well as economic consequences. For instance, the panic of 1893, which in some ways is similar to the current panic, was caused by overbuilding and sloppy financing of the railroads.

The 1880s had enjoyed dramatic economic expansion, which lead to dangerous speculation. Once the railroad bubble burst there was a run on the banks, a contraction of credit, and European investors demanded gold for payments which forced the reduction in the value of the dollar.

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THE ROAD TO AGRA


If I ask you to think of India, the image that most likely appears in your mind's eye would be the Taj Mahal. Arguably the most famous building in the world and considered by many to be the most beautiful structure mankind has ever created, it was completed in 1648 by the ruler of India, Shah Jehan, to immortally entomb his beloved wife, Mumtaz Mahal.

There is a painful problem with this image, however, for the great majority of folks in India: the Taj Mahal isn't an Indian building. It's Moslem, and thus for Indians a symbol of Islamic imperialism.

The Moslem invasion of India had begun with Mahmud of Ghazni (now in present-day Afghanistan) in 1001. Historian Will Durant observed:

The Mohammedan Conquest of India is probably the bloodiest story in history. It is a discouraging tale, for its evident moral is that civilization is a precarious thing, whose delicate complex of order and liberty, culture and peace may at any time be overthrown by barbarians invading from without or multiplying within.
The Taj Mahal is in Agra, about 120 miles south of New Delhi - and it was on the road to Agra that I reflected on the extraordinary complexity of Indian history.

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HOW WE GOT INTO THIS MESS IN 7 STEPS


1.  The Community Re-Investment Act of 1977 threw out the idea of a sound financial system in favor of affordable housing for the less well off.  

Folks who could not afford to borrow to buy a home were now the legislated target market for lenders; banks were legally forced to lend money to bad credits. Out went traditional and rational lending criteria like 20% down. Now, folks who could not afford it could buy a home for 0% down.

So the banks fulfilled their, now lawful, obligation for making the initial loan but then, as soon as possible, sold the damn things off for a packaging fee.

2.  The fundamentally corrupt regulatory process whereby the quasi government controlled wholesale lenders of Fannie and Freddie, and the large private mortgage packagers such as Countrywide, could and did buy any kind of legislation they wanted.

The Chairman of the Senate banking committee, Chris Dodd (D-CT), is and has been the largest recipient of Fannie and Freddie political contributions. In addition, Senator Dodd got two sweetheart Mortgages from Countrywide. The recent heads of Fannie and Freddie were political appointees, mainly by Democrats:  Franklin Raines, Jamie Gorelick, and Jim Johnson - all Obama advisors.

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SIAMESE YELLOW


Bangkok. Western tradition associates royalty with the color purple.  Not in Siam, or as it's called today, Thailand.  The royal color here is yellow - and the whole country right now is wearing yellow, yellow shirts, hats, sashes, or ribbons, in celebration of their beloved King Bhumibol's 60th anniversary of his reign. 

The King's picture is everywhere, and not because of a personality cult.  He is genuinely revered as the embodiment and father-figure of the Thai nation.  And at the same time, the streets of Bangkok are clogged with protestors in yellow shirts waving yellow banners, demanding their democratically elected government be overthrown.

The Siamese are an interesting people.

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THE SHAME OF JEWISH DEMOCRATS


American Jews have good reason to be ashamed and angry today.

As Iran moves into the final stages of its nuclear weapons development program - nuclear weapons which it will use to destroy the State of Israel, endanger Jews around the world and cow the United States of America - Democrat American Jewish leaders decided that putting Sen. Barack Hussein Obama in the White House is more important than protecting the lives of the Jewish people in Israel and around the world.

On Monday (9/22), the New York Sun published the speech that Republican vice presidential nominee and Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin would have delivered at that day's rally outside UN headquarters in New York against Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and against Iran's plan to destroy Israel. She would have delivered it, if she hadn't been disinvited.

It was a remarkable speech, prepared by a remarkable woman. But it was not heard.  Here's why.

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THE MYSTERY OF ANGKOR


You couldn't imagine a more peaceful place than Cambodia in 1961.  Sure, the Vietnamese to the east had split into a Communist North and Free South after the French defeat at Dienbienphu - but that was a problem of despised Cham (the ancient name for ‘Nam).

A flight on Royal Air Cambodia from Phnom Penh (the capital) to Siem Reap (near the ruins of Angkor) provided an unforgettable example of just how laid back the place was.  It was a DC-3, and the stewardess served us a small cup of orange juice, then strapped herself in the jump seat near the exit door and fell fast asleep.

The plane landed, taxied to the tiny terminal, the ground crew opened the door, and we all walked past her to deplane - she was still out cold in Z-land.  Must have been a long night in Phnom Penh.

I stayed in this small hotel, Auberge de Temples, run by a French lady, right across from Angkor Wat.  There were a handful a visitors and I was the only American.  As I explored the magnificent ruined cities and temple complexes of Angkor Thom, Ta Prom, Ta Keo, Angkor Wat and others, they were like deserted lost cities that I had all to myself.

Wow, is it different today.

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WHY LEFTWING FEMINISTS HATE SARAH


[Phyllis Schafly has been a good friend of mine for many years.  We once sailed down the Danube River into Communist Hungary as it was breaking free of the Soviet Union.  At 84 years old, she shows here how to nail liberal faux-feminists to the wall. -JW]

Feminist anger against Sarah has exposed the fact that feminism is not about women's success and achievement. If it were, feminists would have been bragging for years about self-made women who are truly remarkable achievers, such as Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, or former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina, or Sen. Elizabeth Dole, or even Margaret Thatcher.

Feminists never boast about these women because feminism's basic doctrine is victimology.

Feminism preaches that women can never succeed because they are the sorry victims of an oppressive patriarchy. No matter how smart or accomplished a woman may be, she's told that success and happiness are beyond her grasp because institutional sexism and discrimination hold her down.

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CLIMBING FUJIYAMA


It was an interesting way to spend the 4th of July.  And instructive.  I climbed Fujiyama - Fuji-san, as the Japanese reverently call it - once before when I was 17.  That was in 1961, and I still have the climbing stick I used with the year burned into the wood.

It's funny that I have no recollection of the climb being hard.  It requires starting from 7,900 feet at 4 in the morning, and trudging steeply up through volcanic scree to reach the rim at 12,200 feet some five hours later.  No problem when I was 17.  I guess 45 years does make a difference after all.

Actually, the big difference is in coming back down.  Going up it's your lungs that take a beating, going down it's your legs - and I'll take the former any time.  My lungs still work OK, but the endless, endless steep pitch down, down, down, hour after hour made it achingly clear I don't have teen-age legs any more.

But my 14 year-old son Jackson does - and standing on top of Fuji with him made all the effort easily worthwhile.

For the rest of his life, Jackson will remember the 4th of July in 2006.  Fujiyama, one of the world's most famous mountains, is now a part of his life.  Hopefully, it will inspire him to learn more about the country of which Fujiyama is the symbol:  Japan.

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THE LEFT’S HATRED OF RELIGION EXPOSED


Nothing in recent memory has driven home the divide between our self-appointed aristocracy and "commoners" as sharply as the intelligentsia's rush to mock Gov. Sarah Palin's religious faith.

While the attacks and insults are backfiring on the mortified elites, the double standard applied to "Sarah America" is a disgrace that can't be excused as "just politics."

Certainly, much of the left-wing fury over Palin stems from the Democrat Party's assumption that it "owned" the exclusive right to nominate women to the executive branch (despite the crushing of Hillary Clinton's candidacy). How dare the Republicans advance a woman? How dare they change this year's election script?

But the root of the left's dread of this happily married mother of five seems to be that she actually believes in God. Washington fears faith - even nominal believers inside the Beltway have been shaped by secular educations and secular caste values.

Humans fear what they can't understand, and our comfortable ruling class just can't comprehend the power and the glory, the beauty and the ecstasy, the awe and commitment experienced by those who believe in a divine power. To paraphrase the late Leona Helmsley, "Faith is for the little people."

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